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Miami at Duke
Sat Dec 5, 2020
8:00pm ET
Durham, NC
Miami at Duke: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Miami by 14.5, Total Points: 63
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | DUKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-7-0 | 7-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 3-4-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| Away | 3-3-0 | 3-3-0 |
Miami Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Home | Miami (OH) | -16.5 | W by 35 | +18.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Texas A&M | +2.5 | W by 15 | +17.5 |
| 09/14 | Home | Beth-Cook | -53.5 | W by 41 | -12.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Temple | -22.5 | W by 34 | +11.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | GA Tech | -19.0 | L by 3 | -22.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | N Carolina | +3.0 | L by 10 | -7.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Clemson | +6.0 | W by 8 | +14.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Virginia | -19.0 | W by 3 | -16.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | NC State | -6.5 | L by 14 | -20.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Florida St | +14.5 | L by 7 | +7.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Louisville | (Pick) | L by 7 | -7.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Boston Col | -10.0 | W by 25 | +15.0 |
| 12/28 | Neutral | Rutgers | +2.5 | L by 7 | -4.5 |
Duke Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04 | Home | Clemson | +12.0 | W by 21 | +33.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Lafayette | -43.5 | W by 35 | -8.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Northwestern | -17.0 | W by 24 | +7.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Connecticut | -22.0 | W by 34 | +12.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Notre Dame | +5.5 | L by 7 | -1.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | NC State | -3.5 | W by 21 | +17.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Florida St | +14.5 | L by 18 | -3.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Louisville | +5.0 | L by 23 | -18.0 |
| 11/02 | Home | Wake Forest | -7.0 | W by 3 | -4.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | N Carolina | +10.0 | L by 2 | +8.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Virginia | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Pittsburgh | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Troy | +6.5 | W by 7 | +13.5 |
| MIA -14.5 | Open | +2.5 | High | -15.5 |
| Last | -15.0 | Low | +2.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 college football season there have been 155 games where the closing line favored the away team by 13 to 15 points. In these games:
- The team like Miami won the game 126 times (81.3%).
- The team like Duke won the game 29 times (18.7%).
- The team like Miami did better against the spread, going 92-62-1 (59.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 24 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Miami did better against the spread, going 15-8-1 (65.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 5.7 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -14.5 | -14.5 | -- |
| Open | -14.5 | -15.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/05 08:04 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 12/05 07:59 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 07:56 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 07:32 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 07:14 PM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 12/05 07:08 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 06:53 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 06:14 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 05:41 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 05:24 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 12/05 05:20 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 03:56 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 03:11 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 02:35 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 11:11 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 10:23 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 09:47 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 09:26 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 08:56 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 07:53 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 04:53 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 12:47 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 05:33 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 12:29 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 04:47 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 03:41 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 09:04 AM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 12/02 08:50 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 01:44 PM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
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