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Miami at Louisville
Sat Sep 19, 2020
7:30pm ET
Louisville, KY
Miami at Louisville: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Miami by 2.5, Total Points: 65.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | LOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-7-0 | 6-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 4-5-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 3-4-0 | 5-2-0 | |
| Away | 3-3-0 | 1-6-0 |
Miami Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Home | Miami (OH) | -16.5 | W by 35 | +18.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Texas A&M | +2.5 | W by 15 | +17.5 |
| 09/14 | Home | Beth-Cook | -53.5 | W by 41 | -12.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Temple | -22.5 | W by 34 | +11.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | GA Tech | -19.0 | L by 3 | -22.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | N Carolina | +3.0 | L by 10 | -7.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Clemson | +6.0 | W by 8 | +14.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Virginia | -19.0 | W by 3 | -16.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | NC State | -6.5 | L by 14 | -20.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Florida St | +14.5 | L by 7 | +7.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Louisville | (Pick) | L by 7 | -7.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Boston Col | -10.0 | W by 25 | +15.0 |
| 12/28 | Neutral | Rutgers | +2.5 | L by 7 | -4.5 |
Louisville Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Neutral | GA Tech | -7.0 | W by 5 | -2.0 |
| 09/07 | Home | Murray St | -43.5 | W by 56 | +12.5 |
| 09/16 | Neutral | Indiana | -10.0 | W by 7 | -3.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Boston Col | -14.0 | W by 28 | +14.0 |
| 09/29 | Away | NC State | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Notre Dame | +6.5 | W by 13 | +19.5 |
| 10/14 | Away | Pittsburgh | -7.0 | L by 17 | -24.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Duke | -5.0 | W by 23 | +18.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | VA Tech | -9.0 | W by 31 | +22.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | Virginia | -20.0 | W by 7 | -13.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Miami | (Pick) | W by 7 | +7.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Kentucky | -7.5 | L by 7 | -14.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Florida St | -1.0 | L by 10 | -11.0 |
| 12/27 | Neutral | USC | -5.0 | L by 14 | -19.0 |
| MIA -2.5 | Open | +1.0 | High | -2.5 |
| Last | -2.0 | Low | +2.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 college football season there have been 323 games where the closing line favored the away team by 1.5 to 3.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Miami won the game 191 times (59.1%).
- The team like Louisville won the game 132 times (40.9%).
- The team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 160-157-6 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 4 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 4-0 (100.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 16.4 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.5 | -2.0 | -- |
| Open | +2.0 | +2.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/19 07:41 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 07:17 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 06:47 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 06:44 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 09/19 06:08 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 05:35 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 05:14 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 09/19 04:59 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 04:38 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 04:04 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 09/19 03:56 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 03:41 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 03:14 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 09/19 03:11 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 02:47 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 02:05 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 01:38 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 01:24 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 09/19 01:14 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 12:54 PM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 09/19 12:44 PM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 09/19 12:44 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 11:59 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 11:41 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 11:34 AM | -- | +1.5 | -- |
| 09/19 11:17 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 10:23 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 10:05 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 10:04 AM | -- | +1.5 | -- |
| 09/19 09:41 AM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 09:17 AM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 05:17 AM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 04:17 AM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 02:11 AM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 10:44 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/18 10:29 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 09:04 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/18 08:26 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 08:14 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 08:04 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/18 07:44 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 07:08 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 06:44 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/18 05:54 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/18 05:44 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/18 05:14 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/18 05:02 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 04:14 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/18 03:17 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 03:04 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/18 02:44 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/18 02:29 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 12:53 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 07:44 AM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 12:29 AM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/17 06:12 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/17 11:23 AM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/17 01:44 AM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/17 01:38 AM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 06:54 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/16 06:04 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/16 05:54 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/16 05:50 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 05:14 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/16 02:44 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/16 01:56 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 01:14 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 11:54 AM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/16 11:41 AM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 10:14 AM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/16 09:44 AM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/16 08:44 AM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/16 08:14 AM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/16 08:05 AM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 06:14 AM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/16 05:44 AM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/16 05:29 AM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 12:14 AM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/15 08:34 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/15 08:04 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/15 07:47 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/15 07:24 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/15 03:02 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/15 01:20 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/15 12:24 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/15 12:04 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/15 10:34 AM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/15 09:44 AM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/15 08:34 AM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/15 07:54 AM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/15 06:54 AM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/15 06:11 AM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/14 11:14 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/14 10:34 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/14 10:24 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/14 09:54 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/14 08:44 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/14 08:14 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/14 07:14 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/14 06:44 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/14 04:54 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/14 02:14 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/14 01:04 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/14 12:47 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/14 12:24 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/14 12:17 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/14 10:32 AM | +2.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/14 08:23 AM | -- | +2.0 | -- |
| 09/14 08:08 AM | +2.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/13 11:33 PM | -- | +2.0 | -- |
| 09/13 06:24 PM | -- | +2.0 | -- |
| 09/13 06:01 PM | +2.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/13 04:44 PM | -- | +2.0 | -- |
| 09/13 04:35 PM | +2.0 | -- | -- |
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