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Miami at Florida St
Sat Nov 2, 2019
3:30pm ET
Tallahassee, FL
Miami at Florida St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Florida St. by 3, Total Points: 49.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | FSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-7-0 | 8-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 5-4-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 3-4-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 3-3-0 | 5-3-0 |
Miami Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Home | Miami (OH) | -16.5 | W by 35 | +18.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Texas A&M | +2.5 | W by 15 | +17.5 |
| 09/14 | Home | Beth-Cook | -53.5 | W by 41 | -12.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Temple | -22.5 | W by 34 | +11.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | GA Tech | -19.0 | L by 3 | -22.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | N Carolina | +3.0 | L by 10 | -7.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Clemson | +6.0 | W by 8 | +14.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Virginia | -19.0 | W by 3 | -16.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | NC State | -6.5 | L by 14 | -20.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Florida St | +14.5 | L by 7 | +7.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Louisville | (Pick) | L by 7 | -7.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Boston Col | -10.0 | W by 25 | +15.0 |
| 12/28 | Neutral | Rutgers | +2.5 | L by 7 | -4.5 |
Florida St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03 | Neutral | LSU | +1.5 | W by 21 | +22.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | S Mississippi | -31.0 | W by 53 | +22.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Boston Col | -25.5 | W by 2 | -23.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Clemson | -1.5 | W by 7 | +5.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | VA Tech | -24.0 | W by 22 | -2.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Syracuse | -19.0 | W by 38 | +19.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Duke | -14.5 | W by 18 | +3.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Wake Forest | -21.0 | W by 25 | +4.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Pittsburgh | -20.5 | W by 17 | -3.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Miami | -14.5 | W by 7 | -7.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | N Alabama | -48.0 | W by 45 | -3.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Florida | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Louisville | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Georgia | +23.5 | L by 60 | -36.5 |
| FSU -3.0 | Open | -4.5 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -2.5 | Low | -2.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 389 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2 to 4 points. In these games:
- The team like Florida State won the game 221 times (56.8%).
- The team like Miami won the game 168 times (43.2%).
- The team like Miami did better against the spread, going 203-175-11 (53.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 247 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Florida State did better against the spread, going 121-120-6 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.0 | -3.0 | -- |
| Open | -4.5 | -4.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/02 03:30 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/02 02:50 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/02 01:56 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/02 01:30 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/02 12:47 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/02 12:22 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/02 12:18 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/02 11:53 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/02 11:18 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/02 10:54 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/02 10:44 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/02 08:29 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/02 03:24 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/02 02:44 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/02 02:27 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/01 09:28 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/01 05:49 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/01 04:57 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/01 03:36 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/01 01:34 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/01 01:22 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/01 03:04 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/31 05:24 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/31 05:14 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 12:04 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/31 11:53 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 10:55 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/31 10:32 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 09:54 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/30 06:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/30 06:05 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 04:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/30 04:44 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/30 04:40 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 01:31 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 08:05 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 12:55 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/29 11:55 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 10:23 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 07:34 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/28 05:44 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 12:44 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/28 12:32 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
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