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N Illinois at Toledo
Wed Nov 13, 2019
8:00pm ET
Toledo, OH
N Illinois at Toledo: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Toledo by 1.5, Total Points: 55.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NIU | adv | TOL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-7-0 | 7-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 4-5-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 4-3-0 | 4-4-0 |
N Illinois Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Boston Col | +8.0 | W by 3 | +11.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | S Illinois | -7.5 | L by 3 | -10.5 |
| 09/16 | Away | Nebraska | +11.5 | L by 24 | -12.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | Tulsa | -3.5 | L by 8 | -11.5 |
| 09/30 | Away | Toledo | +13.5 | L by 2 | +11.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Akron | -4.0 | W by 41 | +37.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Ohio | +5.5 | W by 10 | +15.5 |
| 10/21 | Home | E Michigan | -11.5 | W by 7 | -4.5 |
| 10/31 | Away | Central Mich | -6.5 | L by 6 | -12.5 |
| 11/07 | Home | Ball St | -9.0 | L by 3 | -12.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | W Michigan | -4.5 | W by 24 | +19.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Kent St | -20.5 | W by 10 | -10.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Arkansas St | +2.5 | W by 2 | +4.5 |
Toledo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Illinois | +7.5 | L by 2 | +5.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Texas Southern | -40.0 | W by 68 | +28.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | San Jose St | -9.0 | W by 4 | -5.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | W Michigan | -21.5 | W by 18 | -3.5 |
| 09/30 | Home | N Illinois | -13.5 | W by 2 | -11.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | U Mass | -19.0 | W by 17 | -2.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | Ball St | -17.5 | W by 7 | -10.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Miami (OH) | -2.5 | W by 4 | +1.5 |
| 10/31 | Home | Buffalo | -14.5 | W by 18 | +3.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | E Michigan | -20.0 | W by 26 | +6.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Bowling Grn | -10.0 | W by 1 | -9.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Central Mich | -10.0 | W by 15 | +5.0 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Miami (OH) | -6.5 | L by 9 | -15.5 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Wyoming | +5.0 | L by 1 | +4.0 |
| TOL -1.5 | Open | -2.5 | High | -3.0 |
| Last | -2.5 | Low | -1.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 200 games where the closing line favored the home team by 0.5 to 2.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Toledo won the game 94 times (47.0%).
- The team like Northern Illinois won the game 106 times (53.0%).
- The team like Northern Illinois did better against the spread, going 108-92 (54.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.8 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 456 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Northern Illinois did better against the spread, going 235-214-7 (52.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -1.5 | -1.5 | -- |
| Open | -2.5 | -2.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/13 08:04 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 11/13 08:02 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 07:39 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 07:24 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/13 07:07 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 07:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/13 06:38 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 06:34 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/13 05:45 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 05:11 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 04:33 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 04:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/13 03:52 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 03:44 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/13 03:35 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 02:40 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 02:24 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/13 02:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/13 01:38 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 01:35 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 01:02 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 12:05 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 11:22 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 10:12 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 09:38 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 09:01 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 08:07 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 03:40 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 11:24 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 08:54 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/12 08:39 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 07:15 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 05:28 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 11:49 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 05:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/11 04:53 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 02:34 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/11 02:15 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 08:34 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/11 08:18 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
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