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Texas at Baylor
Sat Oct 30, 2021
12:00pm ET
Waco, TX
Texas at Baylor: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Baylor by 2, Total Points: 61.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | TEX | adv | BAY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-6-1 | 3-8-1 | |
| vs Conference | 6-3-1 | 3-6-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-4-1 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 3-2-1 | 1-6-1 | |
| Away | 4-4-0 | 2-2-0 |
Texas Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Rice | -35.5 | W by 27 | -8.5 |
| 09/09 | Away | Alabama | +7.0 | W by 10 | +17.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Wyoming | -30.5 | W by 21 | -9.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Baylor | -17.5 | W by 32 | +14.5 |
| 09/30 | Home | Kansas | -15.0 | W by 26 | +11.0 |
| 10/07 | Neutral | Oklahoma | -4.0 | L by 4 | -8.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Houston | -23.5 | W by 7 | -16.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | BYU | -20.5 | W by 29 | +8.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Kansas St | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | TX Christian | -13.0 | W by 3 | -10.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Iowa St | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Texas Tech | -16.0 | W by 50 | +34.0 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Oklahoma St | -14.5 | W by 28 | +13.5 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | Washington | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
Baylor Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Texas St | -26.5 | L by 11 | -37.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Utah | +7.0 | L by 7 | 0.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | LIU | -45.0 | W by 23 | -22.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Texas | +17.5 | L by 32 | -14.5 |
| 09/30 | Away | UCF | +8.0 | W by 1 | +9.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Texas Tech | +2.5 | L by 25 | -22.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Cincinnati | +2.5 | W by 3 | +5.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Iowa St | +3.0 | L by 12 | -9.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Houston | -2.0 | L by 1 | -3.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Kansas St | +21.0 | L by 34 | -13.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | TX Christian | +13.0 | L by 25 | -12.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | W Virginia | +12.5 | L by 3 | +9.5 |
| BAY -2.5 | Open | -3.5 | High | -3.5 |
| Last | -2.0 | Low | -1.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 325 games where the closing line favored the home team by 1 to 3 points. In these games:
- The team like Baylor won the game 166 times (51.1%).
- The team like Texas won the game 159 times (48.9%).
- The team like Texas did better against the spread, going 169-146-10 (53.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 306 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Baylor did better against the spread, going 159-141-6 (53.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.5 | -2.5 | -- |
| Open | -2.0 | -2.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/30 12:02 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 11:54 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 10/30 11:34 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 10/30 11:04 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 10/30 10:50 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 10:38 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 10:05 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 09:32 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 09:14 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 10/30 09:08 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 08:34 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 10/30 08:29 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 04:34 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 10/30 04:24 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 10/30 04:17 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 12:59 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 08:11 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 10:54 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 10/28 07:14 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 10/28 06:53 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 05:14 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 10/28 04:53 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 09:04 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/28 03:04 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/27 08:02 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 03:24 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/26 03:08 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 02:23 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 08:50 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 07:44 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 05:54 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 10/24 05:11 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 05:04 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 10/24 04:47 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
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