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North Texas at S Mississippi
Sat Oct 12, 2019
7:00pm ET
Hattiesburg, MS
North Texas at S Mississippi: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Southern Miss by 3, Total Points: 59
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UNT | adv | USM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-4-0 | 4-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-1-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 4-2-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| Away | 4-2-0 | 2-4-0 |
North Texas Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | California | +5.0 | L by 37 | -32.0 |
| 09/09 | Away | Florida Intl | -10.5 | L by 7 | -17.5 |
| 09/16 | Away | LA Tech | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| 09/30 | Home | Abl Christian | -15.5 | W by 14 | -1.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Navy | +6.5 | L by 3 | +3.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Temple | -7.5 | W by 31 | +23.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Tulane | +20.0 | L by 7 | +13.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Memphis | +6.5 | L by 3 | +3.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | UTSA | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | S Methodist | +21.0 | L by 24 | -3.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Tulsa | -1.5 | W by 7 | +5.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | UAB | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
S Mississippi Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Alcorn State | -24.0 | W by 26 | +2.0 |
| 09/09 | Away | Florida St | +31.0 | L by 53 | -22.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Tulane | +8.0 | L by 18 | -10.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Arkansas St | -7.0 | L by 7 | -14.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Texas St | +6.5 | L by 14 | -7.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Old Dominion | -3.0 | L by 4 | -7.0 |
| 10/17 | Away | S Alabama | +18.5 | L by 52 | -33.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | App State | +16.0 | L by 10 | +6.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | UL Monroe | -3.0 | W by 17 | +14.0 |
| 11/09 | Away | Louisiana | +7.5 | W by 3 | +10.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Miss State | +18.5 | L by 21 | -2.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Troy | +17.0 | L by 18 | -1.0 |
| USM -3.0 | Open | -4.5 | High | -6.0 |
| Last | -3.5 | Low | -3.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 372 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2 to 4 points. In these games:
- The team like Southern Mississippi won the game 210 times (56.5%).
- The team like North Texas won the game 162 times (43.5%).
- The team like North Texas did better against the spread, going 195-166-11 (54.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 288 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Southern Mississippi did better against the spread, going 143-139-6 (50.7% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.0 | -3.0 | -- |
| Open | -6.0 | -5.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/12 07:04 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/12 07:02 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 06:53 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 06:44 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/12 06:04 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/12 05:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/12 05:51 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 04:44 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/12 03:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/12 03:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/12 03:01 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 02:16 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 12:24 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/12 12:12 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 11:24 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/12 11:07 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 08:44 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/12 08:28 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 08:04 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/12 07:52 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 05:54 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/12 02:34 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/12 02:23 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 10:04 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/11 09:48 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 07:04 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/11 06:11 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 05:04 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/11 04:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/11 03:57 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 10:34 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/11 10:23 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 08:34 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/11 02:58 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 10:54 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/10 10:24 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/09 07:44 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/09 07:34 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/09 07:29 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 07:04 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/09 06:43 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 05:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/09 04:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/09 03:24 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/09 11:34 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/09 10:58 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 08:04 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 11:24 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/08 08:24 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 04:24 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/08 04:15 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 04:07 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 02:05 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 12:36 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/07 05:32 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/07 04:43 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/07 03:47 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/07 02:34 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/07 02:23 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/07 02:04 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/07 01:34 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/07 01:18 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/07 11:35 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/07 09:03 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/07 08:07 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/06 08:34 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 10/06 06:34 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 10/06 06:18 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/06 06:16 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
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