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Navy at Air Force
Sat Oct 3, 2020
6:00pm ET
Colorado Springs, CO
Navy at Air Force: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Navy by 6.5, Total Points: 47.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NAVY | adv | AFA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8-0 | 6-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Away | 2-4-0 | 4-4-0 |
Navy Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/26 | Neutral | Notre Dame | +20.5 | L by 39 | -18.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Wagner | -42.5 | W by 24 | -18.5 |
| 09/14 | Away | Memphis | +11.5 | L by 4 | +7.5 |
| 09/30 | Home | S Florida | -3.5 | L by 14 | -17.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | North Texas | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 10/14 | Away | Charlotte | -3.5 | W by 14 | +10.5 |
| 10/21 | Home | Air Force | +10.5 | L by 11 | -0.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Temple | -6.5 | L by 14 | -20.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | UAB | +2.5 | W by 25 | +27.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | E Carolina | -2.0 | W by 10 | +8.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | S Methodist | +20.5 | L by 45 | -24.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Army | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
Air Force Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Robert Morris | -47.0 | W by 35 | -12.0 |
| 09/09 | Neutral | Sam Hous St | -13.5 | W by 10 | -3.5 |
| 09/15 | Home | Utah St | -9.0 | W by 18 | +9.0 |
| 09/22 | Away | San Jose St | -6.5 | W by 25 | +18.5 |
| 09/30 | Home | San Diego St | -10.5 | W by 39 | +28.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Wyoming | -12.5 | W by 7 | -5.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Navy | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Colorado St | -14.5 | W by 17 | +2.5 |
| 11/04 | Neutral | Army | -18.5 | L by 20 | -38.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Hawaii | -20.0 | L by 14 | -34.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | UNLV | -3.0 | L by 4 | -7.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Boise St | +6.5 | L by 8 | -1.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | James Mad | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| NAVY -6.5 | Open | -1.5 | High | -8.0 |
| Last | -7.0 | Low | +1.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 college football season there have been 243 games where the closing line favored the away team by 5.5 to 7.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Navy won the game 159 times (65.4%).
- The team like Air Force won the game 84 times (34.6%).
- The team like Navy did better against the spread, going 121-114-8 (51.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 2 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 5.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Air Force did better against the spread, going 2-0 (100.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 18.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -6.5 | -6.5 | -- |
| Open | +1.5 | +2.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/03 05:56 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/03 05:34 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 10/03 05:26 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/03 05:24 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 10/03 04:44 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/03 04:14 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/03 04:02 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/03 03:41 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/03 03:20 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/03 02:56 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/03 12:50 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/03 12:23 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/03 11:35 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/03 11:26 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/03 10:50 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/03 10:34 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/03 10:23 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/03 09:44 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/03 09:24 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/03 08:20 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/03 07:50 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/03 07:44 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/03 07:04 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/03 06:24 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/03 06:04 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/03 04:54 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/03 03:24 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/03 01:02 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 07:04 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/02 06:20 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 06:04 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/02 05:56 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 05:44 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 04:05 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 03:44 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/02 02:54 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/02 02:04 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/02 01:53 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 11:04 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/02 10:24 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/02 09:14 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/02 05:34 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/02 05:04 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/02 04:47 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 02:24 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/01 10:32 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 10:14 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/01 10:04 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/01 08:53 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 08:26 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 08:24 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/01 08:08 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 04:54 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/01 03:04 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/01 01:34 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/01 12:24 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/01 10:04 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/01 09:34 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/01 08:44 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/01 08:14 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/01 12:34 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/30 11:47 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 07:44 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/30 06:56 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 06:44 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/30 05:24 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/30 04:34 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/30 04:24 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/30 04:17 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 03:14 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 01:34 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 09/30 01:20 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 11:04 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 09/30 10:53 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 08:05 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 04:44 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 09/30 04:05 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 03:14 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 09/30 03:05 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 06:44 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 09/29 05:54 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 09/29 05:44 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 04:54 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 09/29 03:54 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 09/29 03:44 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 02:24 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 09/29 01:24 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 09/29 01:17 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 11:24 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/29 11:17 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 09:20 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 07:54 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/28 07:41 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 07:26 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 07:14 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 09/28 07:04 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/28 07:02 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 06:34 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/28 06:04 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/28 04:32 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 03:44 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/28 01:54 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/28 01:38 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 12:54 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/28 12:47 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 12:34 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/28 12:26 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 08:32 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 09:26 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 09:13 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/27 05:34 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
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