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S Methodist at S Florida
Sat Sep 28, 2019
4:00pm ET
Tampa, FL
S Methodist at S Florida: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Southern Methodist by 7.5, Total Points: 62
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | SMU | adv | USF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-6-0 | 7-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-3-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 5-1-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 3-5-0 | 4-3-0 |
S Methodist Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | LA Tech | -21.0 | W by 24 | +3.0 |
| 09/09 | Away | Oklahoma | +16.0 | L by 17 | -1.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Prairie View A&M | -42.5 | W by 69 | +26.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | TX Christian | +6.5 | L by 17 | -10.5 |
| 09/30 | Home | Charlotte | -22.5 | W by 18 | -4.5 |
| 10/12 | Away | E Carolina | -11.5 | W by 21 | +9.5 |
| 10/20 | Away | Temple | -24.0 | W by 55 | +31.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Tulsa | -20.5 | W by 59 | +38.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Rice | -13.0 | W by 5 | -8.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | North Texas | -21.0 | W by 24 | +3.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Memphis | -9.5 | W by 4 | -5.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Navy | -20.5 | W by 45 | +24.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Tulane | +2.5 | W by 12 | +14.5 |
| 12/28 | Neutral | Boston Col | -13.5 | L by 9 | -22.5 |
S Florida Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | W Kentucky | +13.0 | L by 17 | -4.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Florida A&M | -20.5 | W by 14 | -6.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Alabama | +34.5 | L by 14 | +20.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | Rice | +3.0 | W by 13 | +16.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Navy | +3.5 | W by 14 | +17.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | UAB | -3.0 | L by 21 | -24.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Fla Atlantic | -3.0 | L by 42 | -45.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Connecticut | +1.0 | W by 3 | +4.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Memphis | +12.5 | L by 9 | +3.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Temple | -7.0 | W by 4 | -3.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | UTSA | +14.5 | L by 28 | -13.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Charlotte | -7.0 | W by 34 | +27.0 |
| 12/21 | Neutral | Syracuse | +3.0 | W by 45 | +48.0 |
| SMU -7.5 | Open | -7.5 | High | -8.5 |
| Last | -8.0 | Low | -7.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 239 games where the closing line favored the away team by 6 to 8 points. In these games:
- The team like Southern Methodist won the game 165 times (69.0%).
- The team like South Florida won the game 74 times (31.0%).
- The team like Southern Methodist did better against the spread, going 124-106-9 (53.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 508 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Southern Methodist did better against the spread, going 275-225-8 (55.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.0 | -7.5 | -- |
| Open | -7.0 | -7.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/28 04:03 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 03:56 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 03:24 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 02:52 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 02:44 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 09/28 02:21 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 12:06 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 11:28 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 10:57 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 10:38 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 09:51 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 09:39 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 09:12 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 05:34 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 09/28 03:25 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 01:37 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 10:24 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 09/27 10:08 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 07:04 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 09/27 06:34 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 09/27 06:23 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 06:02 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 05:44 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 09/27 05:30 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 04:41 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 03:03 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 10:14 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 04:50 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 08:03 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 04:01 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 03:35 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 08:55 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 09/25 08:40 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 04:54 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 10:34 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 09/25 10:26 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 08:02 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 10:34 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 09/24 10:09 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 10:03 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 09:14 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 09/24 09:07 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 08:54 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 09/24 08:04 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 09/24 07:47 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 05:20 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 05:05 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 09/24 04:56 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 01:54 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 09/24 01:34 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 09/24 01:17 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 01:28 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 09:14 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/23 09:05 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 04:47 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 04:07 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 03:56 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 03:44 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 09/23 02:35 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 09/23 02:24 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/23 02:23 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 01:57 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 09:06 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 08:14 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 09/23 08:01 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 03:01 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 02:17 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 09/22 09:24 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 09/22 07:24 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/22 07:14 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 07:06 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
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