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Mississippi at Miss State
Thu Nov 25, 2021
7:30pm ET
Starkville, MS
Mississippi at Miss State: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Mississippi St. by 2, Total Points: 65
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MISS | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-4-2 | 3-8-1 | |
| vs Conference | 3-3-2 | 1-6-1 | |
| Streak | W1 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-2-2 | 1-3-1 | |
| Last 10 | 4-4-2 | 2-7-1 | |
| Home | 4-2-1 | 2-5-1 | |
| Away | 3-2-1 | 1-3-0 |
Mississippi Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Mercer | -35.0 | W by 66 | +31.0 |
| 09/09 | Away | Tulane | -13.0 | W by 17 | +4.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | GA Tech | -17.0 | W by 25 | +8.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Alabama | +7.0 | L by 14 | -7.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | LSU | +2.5 | W by 6 | +8.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Arkansas | -13.0 | W by 7 | -6.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Auburn | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Vanderbilt | -24.0 | W by 26 | +2.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Texas A&M | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Georgia | +11.0 | L by 35 | -24.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | UL Monroe | -36.0 | W by 32 | -4.0 |
| 11/23 | Away | Miss State | -10.0 | W by 10 | 0.0 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Penn St | +6.0 | W by 13 | +19.0 |
Miss State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | SE Louisiana | -31.5 | W by 41 | +9.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Arizona | -9.0 | W by 7 | -2.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | LSU | +9.5 | L by 27 | -17.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | S Carolina | +6.0 | L by 7 | -1.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Alabama | +16.5 | L by 23 | -6.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | W Michigan | -21.5 | W by 13 | -8.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Arkansas | +7.0 | W by 4 | +11.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | Auburn | +6.5 | L by 14 | -7.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Kentucky | +5.5 | L by 21 | -15.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Texas A&M | +16.5 | L by 41 | -24.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | S Mississippi | -18.5 | W by 21 | +2.5 |
| 11/23 | Home | Mississippi | +10.0 | L by 10 | 0.0 |
| MSST -2.0 | Open | +2.0 | High | -2.5 |
| Last | -2.5 | Low | +2.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 349 games where the closing line favored the home team by 1 to 3 points. In these games:
- The team like Mississippi State won the game 178 times (51.0%).
- The team like Mississippi won the game 171 times (49.0%).
- The team like Mississippi did better against the spread, going 182-157-10 (53.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 63 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 4 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 35-26-2 (57.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.4 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.5 | -2.5 | -- |
| Open | -1.0 | -1.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/25 07:44 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/25 07:29 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 07:02 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 06:32 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 06:24 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/25 06:05 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 05:54 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/25 05:29 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 04:20 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 03:44 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 02:29 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 01:54 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/25 01:14 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 01:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/25 12:26 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 12:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/25 11:47 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 11:24 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/25 11:20 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 10:44 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/25 10:05 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 09:20 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 08:20 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 06:29 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 11:34 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/24 10:35 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 10:14 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 09:50 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 07:29 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 07:14 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/24 06:34 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 11/24 06:32 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 06:23 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 05:37 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/24 05:17 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 03:14 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/24 02:24 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 11/24 02:23 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 01:54 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 11/24 01:44 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 08:32 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 08:05 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 07:44 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 03:50 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 12:26 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 10:44 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 09:24 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 11/23 08:54 AM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 11/23 07:24 AM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 11/23 06:54 AM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 11/23 02:26 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 01:04 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 11/22 11:35 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 08:38 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 10:56 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 05:14 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 11/21 03:43 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
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