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Mississippi at Alabama
Sat Sep 28, 2019
3:30pm ET
Tuscaloosa, AL
Mississippi at Alabama: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Alabama by 35, Total Points: 62.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MISS | adv | ALA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-4-2 | 9-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-3-2 | 7-2-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-2-2 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-4-2 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 4-2-1 | 5-2-0 | |
| Away | 3-2-1 | 4-3-0 |
Mississippi Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Mercer | -35.0 | W by 66 | +31.0 |
| 09/09 | Away | Tulane | -13.0 | W by 17 | +4.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | GA Tech | -17.0 | W by 25 | +8.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Alabama | +7.0 | L by 14 | -7.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | LSU | +2.5 | W by 6 | +8.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Arkansas | -13.0 | W by 7 | -6.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Auburn | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Vanderbilt | -24.0 | W by 26 | +2.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Texas A&M | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Georgia | +11.0 | L by 35 | -24.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | UL Monroe | -36.0 | W by 32 | -4.0 |
| 11/23 | Away | Miss State | -10.0 | W by 10 | 0.0 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Penn St | +6.0 | W by 13 | +19.0 |
Alabama Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Middle Tenn | -39.0 | W by 49 | +10.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Texas | -7.0 | L by 10 | -17.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | S Florida | -34.5 | W by 14 | -20.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | Mississippi | -7.0 | W by 14 | +7.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Miss State | -16.5 | W by 23 | +6.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Texas A&M | -2.5 | W by 6 | +3.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Arkansas | -19.0 | W by 3 | -16.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Tennessee | -8.5 | W by 14 | +5.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | LSU | -3.0 | W by 14 | +11.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Kentucky | -10.5 | W by 28 | +17.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Chattanooga | -44.0 | W by 56 | +12.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Auburn | -13.5 | W by 3 | -10.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Georgia | +5.5 | W by 3 | +8.5 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | Michigan | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| ALA -35.0 | Open | -34.5 | High | -35.0 |
| Last | -34.5 | Low | -34.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 24 games where the closing line favored the home team by 36.5 to 38.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Alabama won the game 24 times (100.0%).
- The team like Mississippi won the game 0 times (0.0%).
- The team like Alabama did better against the spread, going 14-10 (58.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 167 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Alabama did better against the spread, going 86-80-1 (51.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -37.5 | -38.0 | -- |
| Open | -34.5 | -34.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/28 03:31 PM | -37.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 03:26 PM | -37.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 02:32 PM | -37.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 02:25 PM | -37.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 01:36 PM | -38.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 12:15 PM | -38.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 11:39 AM | -38.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 11:03 AM | -38.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 07:46 AM | -38.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 07:11 AM | -38.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 06:39 AM | -38.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 10:46 PM | -38.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 09:35 PM | -38.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 08:23 PM | -38.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 07:57 PM | -38.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 07:13 PM | -38.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 06:51 PM | -38.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 06:08 PM | -38.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 05:16 PM | -38.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 10:14 AM | -38.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 09:24 AM | -- | -38.0 | -- |
| 09/27 09:10 AM | -38.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 02:25 AM | -- | -37.5 | -- |
| 09/26 11:37 PM | -37.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 05:35 PM | -- | -37.5 | -- |
| 09/26 05:24 PM | -37.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 03:23 PM | -37.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 09:37 AM | -37.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 09:40 PM | -38.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 07:30 PM | -38.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 07:04 PM | -- | -38.0 | -- |
| 09/25 03:15 PM | -- | -38.0 | -- |
| 09/25 03:05 PM | -38.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 10:14 AM | -38.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 09:54 AM | -- | -38.0 | -- |
| 09/25 08:04 AM | -37.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 05:44 PM | -- | -37.5 | -- |
| 09/24 04:24 PM | -- | -37.5 | -- |
| 09/24 03:24 PM | -37.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 02:56 PM | -37.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 01:47 PM | -36.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 01:24 PM | -- | -37.0 | -- |
| 09/24 01:03 PM | -36.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 04:24 PM | -- | -35.5 | -- |
| 09/23 03:56 PM | -35.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 03:54 PM | -- | -35.0 | -- |
| 09/23 02:35 PM | -- | -35.5 | -- |
| 09/23 11:05 AM | -35.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 09:03 AM | -35.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 08:24 AM | -- | -35.0 | -- |
| 09/23 08:07 AM | -35.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 07:24 PM | -- | -34.5 | -- |
| 09/22 07:09 PM | -34.5 | -- | -- |
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