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Mississippi at Alabama
Sat Oct 2, 2021
3:30pm ET
Tuscaloosa, AL
Mississippi at Alabama: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Alabama by 15, Total Points: 79.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MISS | adv | ALA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-4-2 | 9-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-3-2 | 7-2-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-2-2 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-4-2 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 4-2-1 | 5-2-0 | |
| Away | 3-2-1 | 4-3-0 |
Mississippi Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Mercer | -35.0 | W by 66 | +31.0 |
| 09/09 | Away | Tulane | -13.0 | W by 17 | +4.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | GA Tech | -17.0 | W by 25 | +8.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Alabama | +7.0 | L by 14 | -7.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | LSU | +2.5 | W by 6 | +8.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Arkansas | -13.0 | W by 7 | -6.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Auburn | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Vanderbilt | -24.0 | W by 26 | +2.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Texas A&M | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Georgia | +11.0 | L by 35 | -24.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | UL Monroe | -36.0 | W by 32 | -4.0 |
| 11/23 | Away | Miss State | -10.0 | W by 10 | 0.0 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Penn St | +6.0 | W by 13 | +19.0 |
Alabama Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Middle Tenn | -39.0 | W by 49 | +10.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Texas | -7.0 | L by 10 | -17.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | S Florida | -34.5 | W by 14 | -20.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | Mississippi | -7.0 | W by 14 | +7.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Miss State | -16.5 | W by 23 | +6.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Texas A&M | -2.5 | W by 6 | +3.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Arkansas | -19.0 | W by 3 | -16.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Tennessee | -8.5 | W by 14 | +5.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | LSU | -3.0 | W by 14 | +11.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Kentucky | -10.5 | W by 28 | +17.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Chattanooga | -44.0 | W by 56 | +12.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Auburn | -13.5 | W by 3 | -10.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Georgia | +5.5 | W by 3 | +8.5 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | Michigan | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| ALA -15.0 | Open | -16.5 | High | -16.5 |
| Last | -14.5 | Low | -14.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 173 games where the closing line favored the home team by 14 to 16 points. In these games:
- The team like Alabama won the game 147 times (85.0%).
- The team like Mississippi won the game 26 times (15.0%).
- The team like Mississippi did better against the spread, going 88-80-5 (52.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 271 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Alabama did better against the spread, going 138-127-6 (52.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -15.0 | -15.0 | -- |
| Open | -14.0 | -15.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/02 03:44 PM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 10/02 03:41 PM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 03:05 PM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 02:14 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 10/02 02:04 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 10/02 01:44 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 10/02 01:04 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 10/02 12:34 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 10/02 12:20 PM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 12:14 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 10/02 11:55 AM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 10/02 11:44 AM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 10/02 11:44 AM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 11:23 AM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 10:56 AM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 10:25 AM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 10/02 10:24 AM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 10:08 AM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 10:04 AM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 10/02 08:29 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 05:23 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 04:54 AM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 10/02 04:53 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 03:35 AM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 10/02 02:04 AM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 10/01 11:59 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 10:04 PM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 10/01 09:04 PM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 10/01 08:53 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 08:35 PM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 10/01 08:14 PM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 10/01 07:44 PM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 10/01 07:34 PM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 10/01 07:11 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 07:04 PM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 10/01 06:24 PM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 10/01 06:14 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 06:04 PM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 10/01 05:50 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 05:29 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 04:44 PM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 10/01 04:34 PM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 10/01 03:34 PM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 10/01 03:04 PM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 10/01 02:14 PM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 10/01 01:35 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 10/01 01:05 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 10/01 12:34 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 10/01 12:14 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 10/01 11:54 AM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 10/01 10:20 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 08:14 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 06:38 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 12:59 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 09:50 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 09:05 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 03:59 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 12:56 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 11:26 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 05:32 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 11:56 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 08:14 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 04:38 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 01:02 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 10:20 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 08:02 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 05:38 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 09:56 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 11:47 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 05:47 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 05:44 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 09/27 02:26 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 01:04 PM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 09/27 12:29 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 08:25 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 02:34 AM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 09/26 11:49 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 08:14 PM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 09/26 07:16 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 07:04 PM | -- | -15.5 | -- |
| 09/26 06:43 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 06:10 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
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