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Arkansas St at Troy
Sat Sep 28, 2019
6:00pm ET
Troy, AL
Arkansas St at Troy: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Troy by 7, Total Points: 59
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ARST | adv | TROY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-6-0 | 8-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 7-2-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 8-2-0 | |
| Home | 4-2-0 | 3-4-0 | |
| Away | 3-4-0 | 5-2-0 |
Arkansas St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Oklahoma | +36.5 | L by 73 | -36.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Memphis | +21.0 | L by 34 | -13.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Stony Brook | -23.0 | W by 24 | +1.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | S Mississippi | +7.0 | W by 7 | +14.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | U Mass | +2.5 | W by 24 | +26.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Troy | +15.5 | L by 34 | -18.5 |
| 10/21 | Home | Coastal Car | +8.5 | L by 10 | -1.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | UL Monroe | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Louisiana | +7.0 | W by 20 | +27.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | S Alabama | +15.0 | L by 7 | +8.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Texas St | +3.0 | W by 46 | +49.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Marshall | -1.0 | L by 14 | -15.0 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | N Illinois | -2.5 | L by 2 | -4.5 |
Troy Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Ste F Austin | -26.0 | W by 18 | -8.0 |
| 09/09 | Away | Kansas St | +15.0 | L by 29 | -14.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | James Mad | -2.5 | L by 2 | -4.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | W Kentucky | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 09/30 | Away | Georgia St | +1.0 | W by 21 | +22.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Arkansas St | -15.5 | W by 34 | +18.5 |
| 10/14 | Away | Army | -6.5 | W by 19 | +12.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Texas St | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 11/02 | Home | S Alabama | -7.0 | W by 18 | +11.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | UL Monroe | -21.5 | W by 31 | +9.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Louisiana | -16.0 | W by 7 | -9.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | S Mississippi | -17.0 | W by 18 | +1.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | App State | -5.5 | W by 26 | +20.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Duke | -6.5 | L by 7 | -13.5 |
| TROY -7.0 | Open | -6.5 | High | -7.5 |
| Last | -7.5 | Low | -5.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 358 games where the closing line favored the home team by 6 to 8 points. In these games:
- The team like Troy won the game 235 times (65.6%).
- The team like Arkansas State won the game 123 times (34.4%).
- The team like Arkansas State did better against the spread, going 188-158-12 (54.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 508 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Arkansas State did better against the spread, going 275-225-8 (55.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.0 | -7.0 | -- |
| Open | -6.0 | -6.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/28 06:04 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/28 06:00 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 04:18 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 02:23 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 01:14 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/28 11:44 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 11:18 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 10:26 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 10:04 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/28 08:43 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 01:04 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/28 12:53 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 07:04 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/27 04:54 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/27 04:26 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 01:40 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 10:14 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 12:54 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/27 12:40 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 09:24 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 09/26 07:54 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 09/26 07:42 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 02:34 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 09/26 01:24 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 09/26 01:13 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 12:36 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 09/26 12:36 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 12:09 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 11:34 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/25 10:19 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/25 10:01 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 09:14 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/25 09:00 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 08:44 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/25 08:14 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 01:24 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 09/25 01:10 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 10:30 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 08:04 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 03:43 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 02:06 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 01:14 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 09/24 01:06 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 01:26 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 07:29 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 04:54 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/23 04:43 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 04:14 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/23 03:54 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/23 03:46 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 02:35 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/23 02:24 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/23 01:44 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 09/23 01:24 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 09/23 01:00 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 12:54 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/23 12:33 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 12:24 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/23 12:17 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 11:14 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 09/23 10:57 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 10:56 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 09:06 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 08:09 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 09:04 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 09/22 07:43 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 09/22 07:32 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 07:24 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
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