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Miami (OH) at Buffalo
Sat Oct 1, 2022
3:30pm ET
Buffalo, NY
Miami (OH) at Buffalo: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Buffalo by 3, Total Points: 50
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | M-OH | adv | BUFF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 11-3-0 | 5-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-2-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 4-1-0 | 1-5-0 | |
| Away | 7-2-0 | 4-2-0 |
Miami (OH) Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Away | Miami | +16.5 | L by 35 | -18.5 |
| 09/09 | Away | U Mass | -7.0 | W by 13 | +6.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Cincinnati | +14.0 | W by 7 | +21.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Delaware State | -39.5 | W by 42 | +2.5 |
| 09/30 | Away | Kent St | -13.5 | W by 20 | +6.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Bowling Grn | -7.5 | W by 27 | +19.5 |
| 10/14 | Away | W Michigan | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 10/21 | Home | Toledo | +2.5 | L by 4 | -1.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Ohio | +7.5 | W by 14 | +21.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | Akron | -17.0 | W by 19 | +2.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Buffalo | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Ball St | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Toledo | +6.5 | W by 9 | +15.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | App State | +6.5 | L by 4 | +2.5 |
Buffalo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Wisconsin | +28.5 | L by 21 | +7.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Fordham | -22.0 | L by 3 | -25.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Liberty | +3.0 | L by 28 | -25.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Louisiana | +10.5 | L by 7 | +3.5 |
| 09/30 | Away | Akron | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Central Mich | +2.5 | W by 24 | +26.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Bowling Grn | -3.0 | L by 10 | -13.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Kent St | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 10/31 | Away | Toledo | +14.5 | L by 18 | -3.5 |
| 11/07 | Home | Ohio | +9.0 | L by 10 | -1.0 |
| 11/15 | Away | Miami (OH) | +7.5 | L by 13 | -5.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | E Michigan | -5.5 | L by 13 | -18.5 |
| BUFF -3.0 | Open | +1.5 | High | -3.0 |
| Last | -2.5 | Low | +1.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 354 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2 to 4 points. In these games:
- The team like Buffalo won the game 197 times (55.6%).
- The team like Miami (Ohio) won the game 157 times (44.4%).
- The team like Miami (Ohio) did better against the spread, going 185-162-7 (53.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 college football season there have been 97 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Miami (Ohio) did better against the spread, going 54-43 (55.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.0 | -3.0 | -- |
| Open | +1.5 | +1.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/01 03:29 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 03:15 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/01 11:32 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 10:15 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/01 08:32 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 08:15 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/01 02:38 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 10:57 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 08:14 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/30 08:08 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 02:38 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 09:11 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 08:23 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 06:34 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 09/28 09:05 AM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 09/27 11:00 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 09/27 12:04 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 09/27 11:47 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 07:14 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 06:17 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 05:47 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 02:04 PM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 09/26 01:20 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 09:34 AM | -- | (Pick) | -- |
| 09/26 08:41 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 07:29 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 06:27 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 06:14 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 05:24 PM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
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