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Toledo at Ball St
Sat Sep 25, 2021
2:00pm ET
Muncie, IN
Toledo at Ball St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Toledo by 4.5, Total Points: 56.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | TOL | adv | BALL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-7-0 | 7-4-1 | |
| vs Conference | 4-5-0 | 6-2-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W6 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 5-0-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 3-3-0 | 5-1-0 | |
| Away | 4-4-0 | 2-3-1 |
Toledo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Illinois | +7.5 | L by 2 | +5.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Texas Southern | -40.0 | W by 68 | +28.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | San Jose St | -9.0 | W by 4 | -5.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | W Michigan | -21.5 | W by 18 | -3.5 |
| 09/30 | Home | N Illinois | -13.5 | W by 2 | -11.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | U Mass | -19.0 | W by 17 | -2.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | Ball St | -17.5 | W by 7 | -10.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Miami (OH) | -2.5 | W by 4 | +1.5 |
| 10/31 | Home | Buffalo | -14.5 | W by 18 | +3.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | E Michigan | -20.0 | W by 26 | +6.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Bowling Grn | -10.0 | W by 1 | -9.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Central Mich | -10.0 | W by 15 | +5.0 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Miami (OH) | -6.5 | L by 9 | -15.5 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Wyoming | +5.0 | L by 1 | +4.0 |
Ball St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Kentucky | +25.5 | L by 30 | -4.5 |
| 09/09 | Away | Georgia | +42.0 | L by 42 | 0.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Indiana St | -26.5 | W by 38 | +11.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | GA Southern | +5.5 | L by 37 | -31.5 |
| 09/30 | Away | W Michigan | +1.5 | L by 18 | -16.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | E Michigan | +2.0 | L by 14 | -12.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Toledo | +17.5 | L by 7 | +10.5 |
| 10/21 | Home | Central Mich | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 11/01 | Away | Bowling Grn | +5.0 | L by 3 | +2.0 |
| 11/07 | Away | N Illinois | +9.0 | W by 3 | +12.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Kent St | -10.5 | W by 31 | +20.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Miami (OH) | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| TOL -4.5 | Open | -3.5 | High | -5.0 |
| Last | -5.0 | Low | -3.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 207 games where the closing line favored the away team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Toledo won the game 129 times (62.3%).
- The team like Ball State won the game 78 times (37.7%).
- The team like Ball State did better against the spread, going 105-101-1 (51.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 370 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Toledo did better against the spread, going 186-178-6 (51.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.5 | -4.5 | -- |
| Open | -4.0 | -4.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/25 01:59 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 01:44 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 01:24 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 09/25 01:14 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 01:04 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 09/25 12:53 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 12:34 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 09/25 12:04 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 09/25 11:53 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 11:44 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 11:20 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 10:53 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 10:44 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 09/25 10:32 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 10:15 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 09/25 10:08 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 09:50 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 08:17 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 03:47 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 02:53 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 07:02 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 05:47 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 01:32 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 09:44 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 09/24 09:32 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 08:53 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 12:35 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 08:38 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 08:05 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 04:29 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 01:29 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 03:31 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 02:07 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 11:31 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 10:56 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 10:44 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 09/20 08:44 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 09/20 08:34 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 06:05 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 09/19 05:13 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
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