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Toledo at Ball St
Sat Oct 19, 2019
2:00pm ET
Muncie, IN
Toledo at Ball St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Ball St. by 3, Total Points: 58
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | TOL | adv | BALL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-7-0 | 7-4-1 | |
| vs Conference | 4-5-0 | 6-2-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W6 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 5-0-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 3-3-0 | 5-1-0 | |
| Away | 4-4-0 | 2-3-1 |
Toledo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Illinois | +7.5 | L by 2 | +5.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Texas Southern | -40.0 | W by 68 | +28.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | San Jose St | -9.0 | W by 4 | -5.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | W Michigan | -21.5 | W by 18 | -3.5 |
| 09/30 | Home | N Illinois | -13.5 | W by 2 | -11.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | U Mass | -19.0 | W by 17 | -2.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | Ball St | -17.5 | W by 7 | -10.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Miami (OH) | -2.5 | W by 4 | +1.5 |
| 10/31 | Home | Buffalo | -14.5 | W by 18 | +3.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | E Michigan | -20.0 | W by 26 | +6.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Bowling Grn | -10.0 | W by 1 | -9.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Central Mich | -10.0 | W by 15 | +5.0 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Miami (OH) | -6.5 | L by 9 | -15.5 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Wyoming | +5.0 | L by 1 | +4.0 |
Ball St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Kentucky | +25.5 | L by 30 | -4.5 |
| 09/09 | Away | Georgia | +42.0 | L by 42 | 0.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Indiana St | -26.5 | W by 38 | +11.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | GA Southern | +5.5 | L by 37 | -31.5 |
| 09/30 | Away | W Michigan | +1.5 | L by 18 | -16.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | E Michigan | +2.0 | L by 14 | -12.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Toledo | +17.5 | L by 7 | +10.5 |
| 10/21 | Home | Central Mich | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 11/01 | Away | Bowling Grn | +5.0 | L by 3 | +2.0 |
| 11/07 | Away | N Illinois | +9.0 | W by 3 | +12.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Kent St | -10.5 | W by 31 | +20.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Miami (OH) | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| BALL -3.0 | Open | +1.5 | High | -3.0 |
| Last | -2.5 | Low | +2.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 387 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Ball State won the game 232 times (59.9%).
- The team like Toledo won the game 155 times (40.1%).
- The team like Toledo did better against the spread, going 197-179-11 (52.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 32 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Ball State did better against the spread, going 17-15 (53.1% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.5 | -3.0 | -- |
| Open | +1.5 | +1.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/19 02:04 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/19 02:01 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 01:57 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 01:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/19 01:27 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 01:24 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/19 12:57 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 12:56 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/19 12:24 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/19 12:21 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 11:55 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 11:24 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/19 10:54 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/19 10:28 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 10:14 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 09:34 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/19 09:26 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 09:24 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/19 06:38 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 02:45 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 10/19 02:29 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 09:13 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 08:26 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 07:46 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 05:11 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 03:50 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 03:24 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 10/18 03:11 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 08:14 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 10/17 07:44 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 10/17 07:34 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 02:39 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 10/17 02:04 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 10/17 01:56 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 12:28 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 11:24 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 10/17 11:04 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 10/17 09:44 AM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 10/17 09:29 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 09:04 AM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 10/17 02:51 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 08:54 PM | -- | +1.5 | -- |
| 10/16 07:14 PM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 10/16 06:14 PM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 10/16 05:14 PM | -- | +1.5 | -- |
| 10/16 05:13 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 01:28 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 08:02 AM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 07:54 AM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 10/16 12:24 AM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 10/15 09:24 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 10/15 08:34 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 10/15 08:26 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 07:34 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 10/15 07:08 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 07:05 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 04:24 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 02:20 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 01:35 PM | -- | +1.5 | -- |
| 10/14 01:19 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
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