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Toledo at Kentucky
Sat Aug 31, 2019
12:00pm ET
Lexington, KY
Toledo at Kentucky: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Kentucky by 9.5, Total Points: 60.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | TOL | adv | UK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-7-0 | 7-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-5-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 3-3-0 | 3-4-0 | |
| Away | 4-4-0 | 4-2-0 |
Toledo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Illinois | +7.5 | L by 2 | +5.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Texas Southern | -40.0 | W by 68 | +28.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | San Jose St | -9.0 | W by 4 | -5.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | W Michigan | -21.5 | W by 18 | -3.5 |
| 09/30 | Home | N Illinois | -13.5 | W by 2 | -11.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | U Mass | -19.0 | W by 17 | -2.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | Ball St | -17.5 | W by 7 | -10.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Miami (OH) | -2.5 | W by 4 | +1.5 |
| 10/31 | Home | Buffalo | -14.5 | W by 18 | +3.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | E Michigan | -20.0 | W by 26 | +6.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Bowling Grn | -10.0 | W by 1 | -9.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Central Mich | -10.0 | W by 15 | +5.0 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Miami (OH) | -6.5 | L by 9 | -15.5 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Wyoming | +5.0 | L by 1 | +4.0 |
Kentucky Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Ball St | -25.5 | W by 30 | +4.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | E Kentucky | -34.5 | W by 11 | -23.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Akron | -25.5 | W by 32 | +6.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Vanderbilt | -13.0 | W by 17 | +4.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Florida | -1.0 | W by 19 | +18.0 |
| 10/07 | Away | Georgia | +14.5 | L by 38 | -23.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Missouri | -1.5 | L by 17 | -18.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Tennessee | +4.0 | L by 6 | -2.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Miss State | -5.5 | W by 21 | +15.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Alabama | +10.5 | L by 28 | -17.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | S Carolina | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Louisville | +7.5 | W by 7 | +14.5 |
| 12/29 | Neutral | Clemson | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| UK -9.5 | Open | -13.5 | High | -13.5 |
| Last | -10.0 | Low | -9.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 240 games where the closing line favored the home team by 8.5 to 10.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Kentucky won the game 171 times (71.3%)
- The team like Toledo won the game 69 times (28.8%)
- The team like Toledo did better against the spread, going 131-106-3 (55.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.1 points
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 97 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Toledo did better against the spread, going 47-46-4 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -9.5 | -9.5 | -- |
| Open | -12.0 | -13.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 08/31 12:00 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 11:47 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 11:44 AM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 08/31 11:24 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 11:24 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 08/31 10:54 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 08/31 10:44 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 10:04 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 08/31 10:00 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 09:54 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 09:44 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 08/31 09:01 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 07:52 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 07:20 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 06:02 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 02:54 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 08/31 02:25 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/30 10:55 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 08/30 10:38 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/30 09:05 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/30 08:36 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/30 07:07 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/30 04:33 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/30 01:32 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/30 12:14 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/30 04:30 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/30 12:44 AM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 08/29 07:34 PM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 08/29 05:35 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/29 05:34 PM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 08/29 05:02 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/29 03:44 PM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 08/29 03:37 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/29 10:55 AM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 08/29 10:44 AM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 08/29 12:37 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/28 08:40 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/28 08:03 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/27 11:20 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/27 09:45 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/25 04:54 PM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 08/25 04:24 PM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 08/08 02:24 PM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 07/15 03:44 PM | -- | -12.5 | -- |
| 07/14 07:44 PM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 07/06 05:44 PM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 07/06 05:24 PM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 07/05 01:33 PM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 07/05 12:35 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 07/04 03:24 AM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 07/03 03:44 PM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 06/10 09:06 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
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