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Florida St at Miami
Sat Sep 26, 2020
7:30pm ET
Miami Gardens, FL
Florida St at Miami: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Miami by 12, Total Points: 53.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | FSU | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-6-0 | 6-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-4-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 3-3-0 | 3-4-0 | |
| Away | 5-3-0 | 3-3-0 |
Florida St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03 | Neutral | LSU | +1.5 | W by 21 | +22.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | S Mississippi | -31.0 | W by 53 | +22.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Boston Col | -25.5 | W by 2 | -23.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Clemson | -1.5 | W by 7 | +5.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | VA Tech | -24.0 | W by 22 | -2.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Syracuse | -19.0 | W by 38 | +19.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Duke | -14.5 | W by 18 | +3.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Wake Forest | -21.0 | W by 25 | +4.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Pittsburgh | -20.5 | W by 17 | -3.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Miami | -14.5 | W by 7 | -7.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | N Alabama | -48.0 | W by 45 | -3.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Florida | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Louisville | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Georgia | +23.5 | L by 60 | -36.5 |
Miami Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Home | Miami (OH) | -16.5 | W by 35 | +18.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Texas A&M | +2.5 | W by 15 | +17.5 |
| 09/14 | Home | Beth-Cook | -53.5 | W by 41 | -12.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Temple | -22.5 | W by 34 | +11.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | GA Tech | -19.0 | L by 3 | -22.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | N Carolina | +3.0 | L by 10 | -7.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Clemson | +6.0 | W by 8 | +14.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Virginia | -19.0 | W by 3 | -16.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | NC State | -6.5 | L by 14 | -20.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Florida St | +14.5 | L by 7 | +7.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Louisville | (Pick) | L by 7 | -7.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Boston Col | -10.0 | W by 25 | +15.0 |
| 12/28 | Neutral | Rutgers | +2.5 | L by 7 | -4.5 |
| MIA -12.0 | Open | -9.5 | High | -12.0 |
| Last | -11.0 | Low | -9.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 college football season there have been 174 games where the closing line favored the home team by 10.5 to 12.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Miami won the game 140 times (80.5%).
- The team like Florida State won the game 34 times (19.5%).
- The team like Miami did better against the spread, going 94-80 (54.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 7 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Florida State did better against the spread, going 5-2 (71.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 10.5 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -12.0 | -12.0 | -- |
| Open | -9.5 | -10.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/26 07:29 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 07:14 PM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 09/26 06:56 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 06:29 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 05:53 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 05:20 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 04:50 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 04:23 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 03:38 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 03:24 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 09/26 02:14 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 01:23 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 01:14 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 09/26 12:34 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 09/26 12:17 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 12:04 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 09/26 11:29 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 10:47 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 10:34 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 09/26 10:23 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 08:56 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 08:26 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 02:17 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 07:56 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 05:53 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 05:02 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 04:14 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 01:26 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 01:47 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 03:50 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 07:50 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 04:02 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 11:34 AM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 09/23 11:14 AM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 09/23 11:11 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 10:02 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 08:05 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 09:24 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 09/22 07:32 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 11:53 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 10:47 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 10:26 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 08:08 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 06:23 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 11:20 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 10:34 PM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 09/21 04:32 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 03:32 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 02:04 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 09/21 12:24 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 09/21 11:54 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 09/21 11:41 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 10:54 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 09/21 10:20 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 10:17 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 08:32 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 12:47 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 05:32 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
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