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Florida St at NC State
Sat Oct 8, 2022
8:00pm ET
Raleigh, NC
Florida St at NC State: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: NC State by 3.5, Total Points: 50.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | FSU | adv | NCST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-6-0 | 7-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-4-0 | 6-2-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 3-3-0 | 5-2-0 | |
| Away | 5-3-0 | 2-4-0 |
Florida St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03 | Neutral | LSU | +1.5 | W by 21 | +22.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | S Mississippi | -31.0 | W by 53 | +22.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Boston Col | -25.5 | W by 2 | -23.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Clemson | -1.5 | W by 7 | +5.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | VA Tech | -24.0 | W by 22 | -2.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Syracuse | -19.0 | W by 38 | +19.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Duke | -14.5 | W by 18 | +3.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Wake Forest | -21.0 | W by 25 | +4.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Pittsburgh | -20.5 | W by 17 | -3.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Miami | -14.5 | W by 7 | -7.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | N Alabama | -48.0 | W by 45 | -3.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Florida | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Louisville | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Georgia | +23.5 | L by 60 | -36.5 |
NC State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/31 | Away | Connecticut | -14.5 | W by 10 | -4.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Notre Dame | +7.0 | L by 21 | -14.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | VA Military | -43.0 | W by 38 | -5.0 |
| 09/22 | Away | Virginia | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 09/29 | Home | Louisville | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Marshall | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 10/14 | Away | Duke | +3.5 | L by 21 | -17.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Clemson | +10.0 | W by 7 | +17.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Miami | +6.5 | W by 14 | +20.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Wake Forest | -2.0 | W by 20 | +18.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | VA Tech | +2.5 | W by 7 | +9.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | N Carolina | +2.5 | W by 19 | +21.5 |
| 12/28 | Neutral | Kansas St | +3.0 | L by 9 | -6.0 |
| NCST -3.5 | Open | -3.0 | High | -3.5 |
| Last | -3.0 | Low | -3.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 373 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like NC State won the game 217 times (58.2%).
- The team like Florida State won the game 156 times (41.8%).
- The team like Florida State did better against the spread, going 192-174-7 (52.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 college football season there have been 515 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like NC State did better against the spread, going 259-245-11 (51.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.5 | -3.5 | -- |
| Open | -3.5 | -3.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/08 07:41 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 07:25 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/08 06:55 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 06:10 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 05:28 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 04:05 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/08 03:14 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/08 03:05 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/08 12:23 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 11:56 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 10:11 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 08:17 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 06:15 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/07 08:44 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/07 06:44 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/07 06:08 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/07 05:15 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/07 04:55 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/07 04:44 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/07 09:59 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/06 10:45 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/06 09:44 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/06 08:44 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/06 07:45 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/06 06:53 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/06 05:47 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/06 12:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/06 10:44 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/05 10:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/05 12:54 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/05 11:47 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/04 11:41 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/04 02:59 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/03 02:05 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/03 12:54 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/03 10:41 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/03 10:04 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/03 09:11 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 10:14 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 09:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/02 08:04 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/02 07:24 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/02 06:24 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/02 05:44 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/02 04:49 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
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