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Michigan St at Wisconsin
Sat Oct 12, 2019
3:30pm ET
Madison, WI
Michigan St at Wisconsin: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Wisconsin by 8, Total Points: 40.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MSU | adv | WIS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-6-1 | 6-6-1 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-1 | 4-4-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 3-6-1 | 5-4-1 | |
| Home | 3-4-0 | 2-4-1 | |
| Away | 2-2-1 | 4-2-0 |
Michigan St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Home | Central Mich | -14.0 | W by 24 | +10.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Richmond | -29.0 | W by 31 | +2.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Washington | +15.0 | L by 34 | -19.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Maryland | +7.0 | L by 22 | -15.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Iowa | +10.0 | L by 10 | 0.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | Rutgers | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Michigan | +25.5 | L by 49 | -23.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Minnesota | +6.5 | L by 15 | -8.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Nebraska | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Ohio St | +32.0 | L by 35 | -3.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Indiana | +3.5 | W by 3 | +6.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Penn St | +22.5 | L by 42 | -19.5 |
Wisconsin Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Buffalo | -28.5 | W by 21 | -7.5 |
| 09/09 | Away | Wash State | -5.5 | L by 9 | -14.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | GA Southern | -20.5 | W by 21 | +0.5 |
| 09/22 | Away | Purdue | -6.0 | W by 21 | +15.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Rutgers | -12.5 | W by 11 | -1.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Iowa | -8.5 | L by 9 | -17.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Illinois | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Ohio St | +14.5 | L by 14 | +0.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Indiana | -7.5 | L by 6 | -13.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Northwestern | -12.5 | L by 14 | -26.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Nebraska | -7.0 | W by 7 | 0.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Minnesota | -3.0 | W by 14 | +11.0 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | LSU | +9.5 | L by 4 | +5.5 |
| WIS -8.0 | Open | -10.0 | High | -10.5 |
| Last | -9.5 | Low | -8.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 283 games where the closing line favored the home team by 7 to 9 points. In these games:
- The team like Wisconsin won the game 196 times (69.3%).
- The team like Michigan State won the game 87 times (30.7%).
- The team like Michigan State did better against the spread, going 154-117-12 (56.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 235 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Michigan State did better against the spread, going 117-112-6 (51.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -8.0 | -9.0 | -- |
| Open | -10.0 | -10.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/12 03:30 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 03:26 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 03:24 PM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 10/12 02:56 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 02:24 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 01:51 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 01:19 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 01:14 PM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 10/12 12:43 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 12:24 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 10/12 12:16 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 11:55 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 11:44 AM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 10/12 11:14 AM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 10/12 11:04 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 10:54 AM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 10/12 10:53 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 10:24 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 10:04 AM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 10/12 09:55 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 09:06 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 07:47 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 06:51 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 05:56 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 02:30 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 07:54 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 10/11 07:37 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 07:36 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 04:04 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 10/11 03:56 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 11:40 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 09:45 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 02:14 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 10/11 02:04 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 06:29 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 02:27 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 06:08 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 06:07 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 04:17 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 02:30 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 10:46 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 08:04 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 05:06 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 08:14 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 07:53 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 05:28 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 04:46 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 04:04 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 10/08 03:11 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 01:48 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 12:31 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 12:01 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 09:36 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/07 08:33 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/07 06:08 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/07 04:04 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 10/07 03:54 PM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 10/07 03:51 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/07 10:54 AM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 10/07 09:04 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/06 06:34 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 10/06 06:24 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/06 06:14 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 10/06 05:57 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
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