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Michigan St at Northwestern
Sat Sep 21, 2019
12:00pm ET
Evanston, IL
Michigan St at Northwestern: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Michigan St. by 7.5, Total Points: 35
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MSU | adv | NW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-6-1 | 9-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-1 | 7-2-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W7 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 5-0-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-6-1 | 8-2-0 | |
| Home | 3-4-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| Away | 2-2-1 | 5-2-0 |
Michigan St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Home | Central Mich | -14.0 | W by 24 | +10.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Richmond | -29.0 | W by 31 | +2.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Washington | +15.0 | L by 34 | -19.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Maryland | +7.0 | L by 22 | -15.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Iowa | +10.0 | L by 10 | 0.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | Rutgers | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Michigan | +25.5 | L by 49 | -23.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Minnesota | +6.5 | L by 15 | -8.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Nebraska | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Ohio St | +32.0 | L by 35 | -3.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Indiana | +3.5 | W by 3 | +6.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Penn St | +22.5 | L by 42 | -19.5 |
Northwestern Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03 | Away | Rutgers | +5.0 | L by 17 | -12.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | TX El Paso | -1.0 | W by 31 | +30.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Duke | +17.0 | L by 24 | -7.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Minnesota | +12.0 | W by 3 | +15.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Penn St | +26.5 | L by 28 | -1.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Howard | -23.0 | W by 3 | -20.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Nebraska | +10.5 | L by 8 | +2.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Maryland | +14.5 | W by 6 | +20.5 |
| 11/04 | Neutral | Iowa | +5.0 | L by 3 | +2.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Wisconsin | +12.5 | W by 14 | +26.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Purdue | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Illinois | +6.5 | W by 2 | +8.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Utah | +7.0 | W by 7 | +14.0 |
| MSU -7.5 | Open | -6.5 | High | -9.5 |
| Last | -8.0 | Low | -6.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 224 games where the closing line favored the away team by 6.5 to 8.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Michigan State won the game 160 times (71.4%)
- The team like Northwestern won the game 64 times (28.6%)
- The team like Michigan State did better against the spread,
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 379 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Michigan State did better against the spread, going 198-175-6 (53.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.5 | -7.5 | -- |
| Open | -6.5 | -7.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/21 12:01 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 11:55 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 09/21 11:45 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 11:44 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 09/21 11:14 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 09/21 11:09 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 10:34 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 09/21 10:29 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 10:13 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 09:38 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 09:24 AM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 09/21 09:14 AM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 09/21 09:00 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 08:37 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 07:59 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 06:21 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 02:56 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 10:31 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 10:21 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 09:34 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 09:14 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 09/20 08:53 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 05:40 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 03:20 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 02:52 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 02:37 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 01:45 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 10:19 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 11:44 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 10:45 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 09:55 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 06:51 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 05:38 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 03:40 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 01:59 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 11:25 AM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 09/19 10:52 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 02:26 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 06:39 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 03:17 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 12:26 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 12:01 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 11:08 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 10:16 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 08:03 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 03:54 AM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 09/18 03:43 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/17 11:14 PM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 09/17 04:44 PM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 09/17 04:42 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/17 01:55 PM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 09/17 01:00 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/17 11:01 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/17 01:24 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 07:30 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 07:23 PM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 09/16 04:21 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 03:24 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 09/16 10:04 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/16 09:07 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 08:24 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/15 08:24 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/15 07:02 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
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