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Michigan St at Michigan
Sat Nov 16, 2019
12:00pm ET
Ann Arbor, MI
Michigan St at Michigan: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Michigan by 13.5, Total Points: 43.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MSU | adv | MICH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-6-1 | 9-5-1 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-1 | 7-2-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | W4 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-6-1 | 8-2-0 | |
| Home | 3-4-0 | 2-4-1 | |
| Away | 2-2-1 | 7-1-0 |
Michigan St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Home | Central Mich | -14.0 | W by 24 | +10.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Richmond | -29.0 | W by 31 | +2.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Washington | +15.0 | L by 34 | -19.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Maryland | +7.0 | L by 22 | -15.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Iowa | +10.0 | L by 10 | 0.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | Rutgers | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Michigan | +25.5 | L by 49 | -23.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Minnesota | +6.5 | L by 15 | -8.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Nebraska | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Ohio St | +32.0 | L by 35 | -3.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Indiana | +3.5 | W by 3 | +6.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Penn St | +22.5 | L by 42 | -19.5 |
Michigan Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | E Carolina | -35.5 | W by 27 | -8.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | UNLV | -38.0 | W by 28 | -10.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Bowling Grn | -41.0 | W by 25 | -16.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Rutgers | -24.0 | W by 24 | 0.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Nebraska | -17.5 | W by 38 | +20.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Minnesota | -19.0 | W by 42 | +23.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Indiana | -32.5 | W by 45 | +12.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Michigan St | -25.5 | W by 49 | +23.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Purdue | -31.0 | W by 28 | -3.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Penn St | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Maryland | -17.5 | W by 7 | -10.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Ohio St | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Iowa | -21.5 | W by 26 | +4.5 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | Alabama | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 01/08 | Neutral | Washington | -5.5 | W by 21 | +15.5 |
| MICH -13.5 | Open | -13.0 | High | -14.5 |
| Last | -14.0 | Low | -13.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 240 games where the closing line favored the home team by 12.5 to 14.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Michigan won the game 198 times (82.5%).
- The team like Michigan State won the game 42 times (17.5%).
- The team like Michigan State did better against the spread, going 119-117-4 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 114 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Michigan did better against the spread, going 57-53-4 (51.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.6 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -13.5 | -14.0 | -- |
| Open | -14.5 | -14.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/16 12:00 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 11:49 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 11:17 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 10:45 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 10:05 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 09:34 AM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 11/16 09:04 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 11/16 08:55 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 11/16 08:55 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 07:18 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 02:22 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/15 10:09 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/15 09:24 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 11/15 04:44 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/15 01:31 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/14 09:51 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/14 12:51 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/14 12:24 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 11/13 11:05 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 10:19 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 08:02 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 02:26 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 01:09 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 08:13 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 08:01 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 05:29 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 10:54 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 11/12 10:37 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 09:14 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 11/12 09:04 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 05:24 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 11/11 05:06 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 03:14 PM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 11/11 02:55 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 02:44 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 02:44 PM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 11/11 01:24 PM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 11/11 09:57 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 09:34 AM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 11/11 09:20 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 08:10 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/10 06:44 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 11/10 06:32 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
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