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Michigan St at Michigan
Sat Oct 31, 2020
12:00pm ET
Ann Arbor, MI
Michigan St at Michigan: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Michigan by 21.5, Total Points: 52
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MSU | adv | MICH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-6-1 | 9-5-1 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-1 | 7-2-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | W4 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-6-1 | 8-2-0 | |
| Home | 3-4-0 | 2-4-1 | |
| Away | 2-2-1 | 7-1-0 |
Michigan St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Home | Central Mich | -14.0 | W by 24 | +10.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Richmond | -29.0 | W by 31 | +2.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Washington | +15.0 | L by 34 | -19.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Maryland | +7.0 | L by 22 | -15.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Iowa | +10.0 | L by 10 | 0.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | Rutgers | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Michigan | +25.5 | L by 49 | -23.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Minnesota | +6.5 | L by 15 | -8.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Nebraska | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Ohio St | +32.0 | L by 35 | -3.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Indiana | +3.5 | W by 3 | +6.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Penn St | +22.5 | L by 42 | -19.5 |
Michigan Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | E Carolina | -35.5 | W by 27 | -8.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | UNLV | -38.0 | W by 28 | -10.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Bowling Grn | -41.0 | W by 25 | -16.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Rutgers | -24.0 | W by 24 | 0.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Nebraska | -17.5 | W by 38 | +20.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Minnesota | -19.0 | W by 42 | +23.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Indiana | -32.5 | W by 45 | +12.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Michigan St | -25.5 | W by 49 | +23.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Purdue | -31.0 | W by 28 | -3.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Penn St | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Maryland | -17.5 | W by 7 | -10.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Ohio St | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Iowa | -21.5 | W by 26 | +4.5 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | Alabama | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 01/08 | Neutral | Washington | -5.5 | W by 21 | +15.5 |
| MICH -21.5 | Open | -24.0 | High | -25.0 |
| Last | -23.5 | Low | -21.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 college football season there have been 111 games where the closing line favored the home team by 21 to 23 points. In these games:
- The team like Michigan won the game 106 times (95.5%).
- The team like Michigan State won the game 5 times (4.5%).
- The team like Michigan State did better against the spread, going 67-42-2 (61.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 5 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Michigan did better against the spread, going 4-1 (80.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.4 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -21.5 | -21.5 | -- |
| Open | -25.0 | -25.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/31 12:05 PM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 11:44 AM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 11:26 AM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 10:50 AM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 10:23 AM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 10:02 AM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 09:32 AM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 09:23 AM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 09:05 AM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 08:41 AM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 08:02 AM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 07:41 AM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 07:26 AM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 06:05 AM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 05:38 AM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 01:05 AM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 12:14 AM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 10:53 PM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 08:32 PM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 07:54 PM | -- | -21.5 | -- |
| 10/30 07:47 PM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 07:26 PM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 07:14 PM | -- | -21.5 | -- |
| 10/30 06:56 PM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 06:47 PM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 05:26 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 05:14 PM | -- | -21.5 | -- |
| 10/30 05:04 PM | -- | -23.0 | -- |
| 10/30 04:59 PM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 01:44 PM | -- | -23.5 | -- |
| 10/30 01:26 PM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 11:29 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 03:44 PM | -26.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 03:38 PM | -26.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 11:08 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 08:05 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 06:35 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 11:17 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 11:05 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 08:05 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 05:24 PM | -- | -24.5 | -- |
| 10/27 05:23 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 04:24 PM | -- | -24.0 | -- |
| 10/27 04:08 PM | -23.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 08:20 AM | -25.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 10:41 PM | -25.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 12:14 PM | -- | -25.0 | -- |
| 10/25 11:54 PM | -- | -25.5 | -- |
| 10/25 04:34 PM | -- | -25.5 | -- |
| 10/25 04:26 PM | -25.0 | -- | -- |
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