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N Carolina at Florida St
Sat Oct 17, 2020
7:30pm ET
Tallahassee, FL
N Carolina at Florida St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: North Carolina by 13.5, Total Points: 64.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UNC | adv | FSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-7-0 | 8-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 5-4-0 | |
| Streak | L4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 4-3-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 2-4-0 | 5-3-0 |
N Carolina Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Neutral | S Carolina | -2.5 | W by 14 | +11.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | App State | -19.5 | W by 6 | -13.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Minnesota | -7.0 | W by 18 | +11.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Pittsburgh | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Syracuse | -9.5 | W by 33 | +23.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Miami | -3.0 | W by 10 | +7.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Virginia | -24.0 | L by 4 | -28.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | GA Tech | -12.0 | L by 4 | -16.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Campbell | -38.5 | W by 52 | +13.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Duke | -10.0 | W by 2 | -8.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Clemson | +8.0 | L by 11 | -3.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | NC State | -2.5 | L by 19 | -21.5 |
| 12/27 | Neutral | W Virginia | +4.5 | L by 20 | -15.5 |
Florida St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03 | Neutral | LSU | +1.5 | W by 21 | +22.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | S Mississippi | -31.0 | W by 53 | +22.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Boston Col | -25.5 | W by 2 | -23.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Clemson | -1.5 | W by 7 | +5.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | VA Tech | -24.0 | W by 22 | -2.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Syracuse | -19.0 | W by 38 | +19.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Duke | -14.5 | W by 18 | +3.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Wake Forest | -21.0 | W by 25 | +4.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Pittsburgh | -20.5 | W by 17 | -3.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Miami | -14.5 | W by 7 | -7.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | N Alabama | -48.0 | W by 45 | -3.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Florida | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Louisville | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Georgia | +23.5 | L by 60 | -36.5 |
| UNC -13.5 | Open | -10.0 | High | -13.5 |
| Last | -12.0 | Low | -10.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 college football season there have been 146 games where the closing line favored the away team by 12.5 to 14.5 points. In these games:
- The team like North Carolina won the game 122 times (83.6%).
- The team like Florida State won the game 24 times (16.4%).
- The team like North Carolina did better against the spread, going 83-62-1 (57.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 54 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 4 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like North Carolina did better against the spread, going 30-22-2 (57.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -13.5 | -13.5 | -- |
| Open | -10.0 | -10.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/17 07:44 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 10/17 07:41 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 07:35 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 07:34 PM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 10/17 07:17 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 06:56 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 06:23 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 06:02 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 05:50 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 03:29 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 02:32 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 11:59 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 08:17 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 07:59 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 02:11 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 08:47 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 08:08 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 05:35 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 05:14 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 04:56 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 03:38 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 08:32 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 05:54 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 10/14 05:41 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 08:02 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 10:04 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 10/13 09:34 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 10/13 09:20 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 08:29 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 02:34 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 10/12 02:08 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 10:14 AM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 10/12 09:59 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 09:14 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 10/12 08:59 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 05:24 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 10/11 05:14 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
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