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Maryland at Purdue
Sat Oct 12, 2019
12:00pm ET
West Lafayette, IN
Maryland at Purdue: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Maryland by 4, Total Points: 53
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MD | adv | PUR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-6-0 | 4-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-4-0 | 3-6-0 | |
| Streak | W4 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 3-4-0 | 2-5-0 | |
| Away | 4-2-0 | 2-3-0 |
Maryland Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Towson | -38.0 | W by 32 | -6.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Charlotte | -24.5 | W by 18 | -6.5 |
| 09/15 | Home | Virginia | -16.0 | W by 28 | +12.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Michigan St | -7.0 | W by 22 | +15.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Indiana | -14.0 | W by 27 | +13.0 |
| 10/07 | Away | Ohio St | +17.0 | L by 20 | -3.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Illinois | -13.0 | L by 3 | -16.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | Northwestern | -14.5 | L by 6 | -20.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Penn St | +7.5 | L by 36 | -28.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Nebraska | -1.5 | W by 3 | +1.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Michigan | +17.5 | L by 7 | +10.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Rutgers | -2.0 | W by 18 | +16.0 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Auburn | +4.0 | W by 18 | +22.0 |
Purdue Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Fresno St | -4.0 | L by 4 | -8.0 |
| 09/09 | Away | VA Tech | +1.0 | W by 7 | +8.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Syracuse | +1.0 | L by 15 | -14.0 |
| 09/22 | Home | Wisconsin | +6.0 | L by 21 | -15.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Illinois | +1.0 | W by 25 | +26.0 |
| 10/07 | Away | Iowa | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Ohio St | +17.0 | L by 34 | -17.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | Nebraska | -1.5 | L by 17 | -18.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Michigan | +31.0 | L by 28 | +3.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Minnesota | +2.0 | W by 19 | +21.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Northwestern | +2.5 | L by 8 | -5.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Indiana | -6.5 | W by 4 | -2.5 |
| MD -4.0 | Open | -6.5 | High | -6.5 |
| Last | -3.5 | Low | -3.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 329 games where the closing line favored the away team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:
- The team like Maryland won the game 212 times (64.4%).
- The team like Purdue won the game 117 times (35.6%).
- The team like Maryland did better against the spread, going 170-153-6 (52.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 209 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Purdue did better against the spread, going 106-101-2 (51.2% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.0 | -4.0 | -- |
| Open | -4.5 | -4.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/12 12:00 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 11:53 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 11:21 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 10:47 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 10:14 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 10:04 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/12 09:55 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 09:54 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/12 09:17 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 08:32 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 07:25 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 06:00 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 04:34 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/12 03:04 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/12 02:55 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 06:04 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/11 05:53 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 04:24 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/11 04:04 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/11 03:57 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 02:54 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/11 02:42 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 01:24 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/11 01:17 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 12:34 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/11 10:14 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/11 09:54 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/11 02:14 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/11 01:57 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 11:26 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 08:24 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/10 08:09 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 12:12 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 12:04 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/09 07:24 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/09 07:15 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 03:44 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/09 02:44 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/09 01:34 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/09 01:24 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 12:23 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 10:54 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/09 10:40 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 10:24 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/09 09:44 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/09 09:34 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 08:34 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/09 08:14 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/09 08:04 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 10:44 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/08 10:25 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 10:24 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/08 09:46 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 05:37 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 02:03 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 12:34 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/08 12:19 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/07 11:14 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/07 10:48 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/07 08:14 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/07 07:17 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/07 06:14 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/07 06:04 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/07 05:39 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/07 05:34 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/07 05:26 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/07 04:44 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/07 04:34 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/07 04:22 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/07 04:14 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/07 03:54 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/07 03:42 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/07 02:44 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 10/07 02:31 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/07 02:18 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/07 01:34 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/07 01:16 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/07 12:54 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/07 12:34 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
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