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LSU at Miss State
Sat Sep 25, 2021
12:00pm ET
Starkville, MS
LSU at Miss State: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Louisiana St. by 1.5, Total Points: 54.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | LSU | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-5-0 | 3-8-1 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 1-6-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-3-1 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 2-7-1 | |
| Home | 6-1-0 | 2-5-1 | |
| Away | 2-4-0 | 1-3-0 |
LSU Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03 | Neutral | Florida St | -1.5 | L by 21 | -22.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Grambling St | -57.0 | W by 62 | +5.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Miss State | -9.5 | W by 27 | +17.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | Arkansas | -17.5 | W by 3 | -14.5 |
| 09/30 | Away | Mississippi | -2.5 | L by 6 | -8.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Missouri | -6.0 | W by 10 | +4.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Auburn | -11.0 | W by 30 | +19.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Army | -32.5 | W by 62 | +29.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Alabama | +3.0 | L by 14 | -11.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Florida | -16.0 | W by 17 | +1.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Georgia St | -32.0 | W by 42 | +10.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Texas A&M | -11.0 | W by 12 | +1.0 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | Wisconsin | -9.5 | W by 4 | -5.5 |
Miss State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | SE Louisiana | -31.5 | W by 41 | +9.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Arizona | -9.0 | W by 7 | -2.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | LSU | +9.5 | L by 27 | -17.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | S Carolina | +6.0 | L by 7 | -1.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Alabama | +16.5 | L by 23 | -6.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | W Michigan | -21.5 | W by 13 | -8.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Arkansas | +7.0 | W by 4 | +11.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | Auburn | +6.5 | L by 14 | -7.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Kentucky | +5.5 | L by 21 | -15.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Texas A&M | +16.5 | L by 41 | -24.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | S Mississippi | -18.5 | W by 21 | +2.5 |
| 11/23 | Home | Mississippi | +10.0 | L by 10 | 0.0 |
| LSU -1.5 | Open | -3.5 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -2.5 | Low | -1.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 187 games where the closing line favored the away team by 0.5 to 2.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Louisiana State won the game 87 times (46.5%).
- The team like Mississippi State won the game 100 times (53.5%).
- The team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 107-77-3 (58.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 211 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 106-103-2 (50.7% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -1.5 | -1.5 | -- |
| Open | -3.0 | -3.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/25 11:56 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 11:35 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 11:34 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 09/25 11:20 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 11:14 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 09/25 11:05 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 10:47 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 10:34 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 09/25 10:24 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 09/25 09:54 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 09/25 09:14 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 09/25 08:44 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 09/25 08:23 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 08:17 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 08:14 AM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 09/25 07:20 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 03:35 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 12:10 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 07:34 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 09/24 07:16 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/24 06:50 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 04:54 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/24 04:38 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 04:24 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/24 03:38 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 02:38 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 09:23 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 09:05 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 04:14 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 11:25 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/22 08:05 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 09:34 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 09/21 06:23 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 04:11 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 03:08 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 02:11 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 10:17 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 10:14 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/20 10:00 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 09:04 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/20 08:56 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 08:24 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/20 07:34 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/20 07:24 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/20 06:44 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/20 05:44 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/20 04:54 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/20 03:04 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/19 07:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/19 07:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/19 06:40 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 06:05 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 09/19 05:32 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
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