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USC at Notre Dame
Sat Oct 23, 2021
7:30pm ET
South Bend, IN
USC at Notre Dame: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Notre Dame by 8, Total Points: 59.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | USC | adv | ND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-9-0 | 9-3-1 | |
| vs Conference | 2-7-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 6-3-1 | |
| Home | 2-5-0 | 4-1-1 | |
| Away | 2-4-0 | 5-2-0 |
USC Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/26 | Home | San Jose St | -31.0 | W by 28 | -3.0 |
| 09/02 | Home | Nevada | -37.5 | W by 52 | +14.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Stanford | -28.5 | W by 46 | +17.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Arizona St | -34.5 | W by 14 | -20.5 |
| 09/30 | Away | Colorado | -21.5 | W by 7 | -14.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Arizona | -21.0 | W by 2 | -19.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | Notre Dame | +3.0 | L by 28 | -25.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Utah | -7.0 | L by 2 | -9.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | California | -10.5 | W by 1 | -9.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Washington | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Oregon | +16.5 | L by 9 | +7.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | UCLA | -5.0 | L by 18 | -23.0 |
| 12/27 | Neutral | Louisville | +5.0 | W by 14 | +19.0 |
Notre Dame Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/26 | Neutral | Navy | -20.5 | W by 39 | +18.5 |
| 09/02 | Home | TN State | -48.5 | W by 53 | +4.5 |
| 09/09 | Away | NC State | -7.0 | W by 21 | +14.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Central Mich | -35.0 | W by 24 | -11.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Ohio St | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Duke | -5.5 | W by 7 | +1.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Louisville | -6.5 | L by 13 | -19.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | USC | -3.0 | W by 28 | +25.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Pittsburgh | -21.0 | W by 51 | +30.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Clemson | -3.5 | L by 8 | -11.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Wake Forest | -24.0 | W by 38 | +14.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Stanford | -26.0 | W by 33 | +7.0 |
| 12/29 | Neutral | Oregon St | -5.5 | W by 32 | +26.5 |
| ND -8.0 | Open | -3.5 | High | -8.0 |
| Last | -7.5 | Low | -3.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 247 games where the closing line favored the home team by 7 to 9 points. In these games:
- The team like Notre Dame won the game 180 times (72.9%).
- The team like Southern California won the game 67 times (27.1%).
- The team like Southern California did better against the spread, going 129-110-8 (54.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 19 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Notre Dame did better against the spread, going 12-6-1 (66.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 3.5 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.5 | -7.5 | -- |
| Open | -6.5 | -7.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/23 07:44 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/23 07:34 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/23 07:29 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 07:05 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/23 07:05 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 06:32 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 06:05 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 05:32 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 03:43 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 03:02 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 01:14 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 01:04 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/23 12:56 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 12:04 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/23 11:20 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 11:08 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 10:55 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/23 10:29 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 09:56 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 09:38 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 08:17 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 07:23 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 02:55 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 01:04 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/22 10:15 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/22 02:44 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/22 12:56 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 11:35 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 09:54 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/22 08:08 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 05:54 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/21 03:47 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 04:59 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 04:55 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/20 04:44 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/20 04:41 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 03:44 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/20 03:04 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/20 02:45 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/20 02:24 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/20 01:44 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/20 12:56 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/20 12:04 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/20 11:55 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/20 11:14 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/20 10:44 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/20 10:25 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/20 09:44 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/20 08:54 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/20 08:06 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/20 08:02 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 07:46 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/20 07:04 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/20 06:54 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/20 06:24 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/20 05:44 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/20 05:04 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/20 04:14 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/20 03:14 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/19 10:44 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/19 10:04 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/19 09:14 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/19 08:04 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/19 07:44 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/19 07:04 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/19 06:34 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/19 06:24 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/19 05:24 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/19 04:34 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/19 04:04 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/19 03:34 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/19 02:54 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/19 02:44 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/19 02:14 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/19 01:54 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/19 01:04 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/19 12:50 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 10:54 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/19 10:34 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/19 10:24 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/19 10:14 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 09:44 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/19 09:24 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/19 08:54 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/19 08:04 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/19 07:44 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/19 07:14 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/19 06:44 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/19 06:24 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/19 05:24 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/19 04:44 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/19 04:14 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/19 03:54 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/19 03:14 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/18 10:34 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/18 10:14 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/18 09:34 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/18 09:14 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/18 08:54 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/18 08:34 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/18 07:14 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/18 06:24 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/18 06:14 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/18 05:54 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/18 10:24 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 10/18 10:20 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 03:04 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/18 02:49 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 08:19 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 06:24 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/17 06:02 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 05:34 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/17 05:16 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 04:28 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 04:04 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
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