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Troy at S Mississippi
Sat Sep 18, 2021
7:00pm ET
Hattiesburg, MS
Troy at S Mississippi: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Troy by 11, Total Points: 49
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | TROY | adv | USM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-6-0 | 4-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-2-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 3-4-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| Away | 5-2-0 | 2-4-0 |
Troy Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Ste F Austin | -26.0 | W by 18 | -8.0 |
| 09/09 | Away | Kansas St | +15.0 | L by 29 | -14.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | James Mad | -2.5 | L by 2 | -4.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | W Kentucky | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 09/30 | Away | Georgia St | +1.0 | W by 21 | +22.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Arkansas St | -15.5 | W by 34 | +18.5 |
| 10/14 | Away | Army | -6.5 | W by 19 | +12.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Texas St | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 11/02 | Home | S Alabama | -7.0 | W by 18 | +11.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | UL Monroe | -21.5 | W by 31 | +9.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Louisiana | -16.0 | W by 7 | -9.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | S Mississippi | -17.0 | W by 18 | +1.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | App State | -5.5 | W by 26 | +20.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Duke | -6.5 | L by 7 | -13.5 |
S Mississippi Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Alcorn State | -24.0 | W by 26 | +2.0 |
| 09/09 | Away | Florida St | +31.0 | L by 53 | -22.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Tulane | +8.0 | L by 18 | -10.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Arkansas St | -7.0 | L by 7 | -14.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Texas St | +6.5 | L by 14 | -7.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Old Dominion | -3.0 | L by 4 | -7.0 |
| 10/17 | Away | S Alabama | +18.5 | L by 52 | -33.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | App State | +16.0 | L by 10 | +6.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | UL Monroe | -3.0 | W by 17 | +14.0 |
| 11/09 | Away | Louisiana | +7.5 | W by 3 | +10.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Miss State | +18.5 | L by 21 | -2.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Troy | +17.0 | L by 18 | -1.0 |
| TROY -11.0 | Open | -8.5 | High | -11.0 |
| Last | -10.5 | Low | -7.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 127 games where the closing line favored the away team by 10 to 12 points. In these games:
- The team like Troy won the game 106 times (83.5%).
- The team like Southern Miss won the game 21 times (16.5%).
- The team like Troy did better against the spread, going 68-57-2 (54.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 166 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Southern Miss did better against the spread, going 84-80-2 (51.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -11.0 | -11.0 | -- |
| Open | -7.5 | -8.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/18 06:59 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 06:29 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 03:53 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 02:53 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 01:41 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 12:08 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 08:55 AM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 09/18 08:44 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 08:34 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 09/18 08:23 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 08:04 AM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 09/18 07:35 AM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 09/18 06:54 AM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 09/18 06:34 AM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 09/18 05:54 AM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 09/18 04:55 AM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 09/18 04:14 AM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 09/18 03:14 AM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 09/17 10:34 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 09/17 10:04 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 09/17 09:34 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 09/17 08:55 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 09/17 08:16 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 09/17 07:34 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 09/17 07:14 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 09/17 06:48 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 09/17 05:54 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 09/17 05:24 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 09/17 04:59 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/17 04:58 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 09/17 02:06 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 09/17 01:53 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/17 12:14 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/17 08:47 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/17 05:02 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 06:04 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 09/16 05:32 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 05:17 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 04:23 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 03:53 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 01:59 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 12:17 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 08:14 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/15 01:47 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/15 11:56 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/15 11:20 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/15 08:05 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/14 01:15 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/14 10:05 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/13 03:14 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 09/13 03:05 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/13 11:04 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 09/13 10:51 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/13 10:38 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/13 10:15 AM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 09/13 10:05 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/13 08:32 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/12 07:14 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 09/12 06:59 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
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