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Northwestern at Duke
Sat Sep 18, 2021
4:00pm ET
Durham, NC
Northwestern at Duke: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Northwestern by 2.5, Total Points: 50
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NW | adv | DUKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-4-0 | 7-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-2-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | W7 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 4-2-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| Away | 5-2-0 | 3-3-0 |
Northwestern Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03 | Away | Rutgers | +5.0 | L by 17 | -12.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | TX El Paso | -1.0 | W by 31 | +30.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Duke | +17.0 | L by 24 | -7.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Minnesota | +12.0 | W by 3 | +15.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Penn St | +26.5 | L by 28 | -1.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Howard | -23.0 | W by 3 | -20.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Nebraska | +10.5 | L by 8 | +2.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Maryland | +14.5 | W by 6 | +20.5 |
| 11/04 | Neutral | Iowa | +5.0 | L by 3 | +2.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Wisconsin | +12.5 | W by 14 | +26.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Purdue | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Illinois | +6.5 | W by 2 | +8.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Utah | +7.0 | W by 7 | +14.0 |
Duke Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04 | Home | Clemson | +12.0 | W by 21 | +33.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Lafayette | -43.5 | W by 35 | -8.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Northwestern | -17.0 | W by 24 | +7.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Connecticut | -22.0 | W by 34 | +12.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Notre Dame | +5.5 | L by 7 | -1.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | NC State | -3.5 | W by 21 | +17.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Florida St | +14.5 | L by 18 | -3.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Louisville | +5.0 | L by 23 | -18.0 |
| 11/02 | Home | Wake Forest | -7.0 | W by 3 | -4.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | N Carolina | +10.0 | L by 2 | +8.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Virginia | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Pittsburgh | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Troy | +6.5 | W by 7 | +13.5 |
| NW -2.5 | Open | -9.5 | High | -9.5 |
| Last | -3.0 | Low | +0.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 316 games where the closing line favored the away team by 1.5 to 3.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Northwestern won the game 170 times (53.8%).
- The team like Duke won the game 146 times (46.2%).
- The team like Duke did better against the spread, going 166-144-6 (53.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 1 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 7 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Northwestern did better against the spread, going 1-0 (100.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 7.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.5 | -2.5 | -- |
| Open | -2.5 | -2.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/18 03:54 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/18 03:53 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 03:35 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/18 03:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/18 02:34 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/18 02:29 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 01:54 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/18 01:29 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 01:25 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/18 01:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/18 12:34 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/18 12:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/18 11:44 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 11:15 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/18 10:54 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/18 10:24 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/18 10:14 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 10:04 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/18 09:15 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/18 09:14 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 09:05 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/18 08:41 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 06:26 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 05:32 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 04:29 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/17 06:56 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/17 05:20 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/17 04:56 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/17 11:50 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 05:34 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/16 05:15 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/16 03:29 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 02:34 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/16 02:24 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/16 01:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/16 12:57 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/16 12:44 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 11:45 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/16 11:34 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 11:24 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/16 11:11 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/15 08:44 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/15 12:11 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/15 08:05 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/14 06:24 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/14 06:04 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/14 05:30 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/14 05:04 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/14 04:34 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/14 03:34 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/14 02:44 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/14 01:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/14 01:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/14 12:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/14 12:24 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/14 12:05 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/14 11:26 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/14 11:04 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/14 09:36 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/14 09:04 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/14 08:34 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/14 07:54 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/14 07:44 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/14 07:04 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/14 06:54 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/14 06:19 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/14 05:54 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/14 04:24 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/14 03:15 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/13 10:34 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/13 10:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/13 09:44 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/13 09:24 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/13 08:44 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/13 08:24 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/13 08:04 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/13 07:36 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/13 07:17 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/13 06:11 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/13 03:24 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/13 03:14 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/13 11:04 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/13 10:51 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/13 10:34 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/13 09:04 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/13 08:32 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/13 08:29 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/13 06:04 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/13 05:54 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/12 06:56 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
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