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Kentucky at Miss State
Sat Sep 21, 2019
4:00pm ET
Starkville, MS
Kentucky at Miss State: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Mississippi St. by 5.5, Total Points: 48
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UK | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-6-0 | 3-8-1 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 1-6-1 | |
| Streak | W2 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-3-1 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 2-7-1 | |
| Home | 3-4-0 | 2-5-1 | |
| Away | 4-2-0 | 1-3-0 |
Kentucky Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Ball St | -25.5 | W by 30 | +4.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | E Kentucky | -34.5 | W by 11 | -23.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Akron | -25.5 | W by 32 | +6.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Vanderbilt | -13.0 | W by 17 | +4.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Florida | -1.0 | W by 19 | +18.0 |
| 10/07 | Away | Georgia | +14.5 | L by 38 | -23.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Missouri | -1.5 | L by 17 | -18.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Tennessee | +4.0 | L by 6 | -2.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Miss State | -5.5 | W by 21 | +15.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Alabama | +10.5 | L by 28 | -17.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | S Carolina | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Louisville | +7.5 | W by 7 | +14.5 |
| 12/29 | Neutral | Clemson | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
Miss State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | SE Louisiana | -31.5 | W by 41 | +9.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Arizona | -9.0 | W by 7 | -2.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | LSU | +9.5 | L by 27 | -17.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | S Carolina | +6.0 | L by 7 | -1.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Alabama | +16.5 | L by 23 | -6.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | W Michigan | -21.5 | W by 13 | -8.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Arkansas | +7.0 | W by 4 | +11.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | Auburn | +6.5 | L by 14 | -7.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Kentucky | +5.5 | L by 21 | -15.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Texas A&M | +16.5 | L by 41 | -24.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | S Mississippi | -18.5 | W by 21 | +2.5 |
| 11/23 | Home | Mississippi | +10.0 | L by 10 | 0.0 |
| MSST -5.5 | Open | -7.0 | High | -7.0 |
| Last | -6.0 | Low | -5.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 231 games where the closing line favored the home team by 4.5 to 6.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Mississippi State won the game 156 times (67.5%)
- The team like Kentucky won the game 75 times (32.5%)
- The team like Mississippi State did better against the spread,
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 223 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Kentucky did better against the spread, going 110-107-6 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.5 | -6.0 | -- |
| Open | -7.5 | -7.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/21 04:04 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 09/21 04:00 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 03:55 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 03:14 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 09/21 02:56 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 02:14 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 01:44 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 09/21 01:32 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 01:06 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 09/21 12:43 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 12:34 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 09/21 11:58 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 11:55 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 09/21 11:45 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 11:44 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 09/21 11:16 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 10:54 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 09/21 10:45 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 10:44 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 09/21 09:14 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 09/21 09:06 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 12:54 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 09/21 12:42 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 06:54 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 09/20 06:42 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 11:39 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 09:42 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 10:54 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 09:03 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 07:19 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 06:06 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 11:43 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 04:30 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 08:03 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 07:14 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 09/18 05:04 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 09/18 03:34 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 09/18 12:24 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 09/17 06:14 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 09/17 03:38 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/17 02:34 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 09/16 07:30 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 07:24 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/16 04:26 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 11:15 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/16 09:07 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 08:24 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/15 08:04 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 09/15 07:52 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
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