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Kentucky at Louisville
Sat Nov 27, 2021
7:30pm ET
Louisville, KY
Kentucky at Louisville: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Louisville by 3, Total Points: 57.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UK | adv | LOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-6-0 | 6-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 4-5-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 3-4-0 | 5-2-0 | |
| Away | 4-2-0 | 1-6-0 |
Kentucky Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Ball St | -25.5 | W by 30 | +4.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | E Kentucky | -34.5 | W by 11 | -23.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Akron | -25.5 | W by 32 | +6.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Vanderbilt | -13.0 | W by 17 | +4.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Florida | -1.0 | W by 19 | +18.0 |
| 10/07 | Away | Georgia | +14.5 | L by 38 | -23.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Missouri | -1.5 | L by 17 | -18.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Tennessee | +4.0 | L by 6 | -2.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Miss State | -5.5 | W by 21 | +15.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Alabama | +10.5 | L by 28 | -17.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | S Carolina | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Louisville | +7.5 | W by 7 | +14.5 |
| 12/29 | Neutral | Clemson | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
Louisville Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Neutral | GA Tech | -7.0 | W by 5 | -2.0 |
| 09/07 | Home | Murray St | -43.5 | W by 56 | +12.5 |
| 09/16 | Neutral | Indiana | -10.0 | W by 7 | -3.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Boston Col | -14.0 | W by 28 | +14.0 |
| 09/29 | Away | NC State | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Notre Dame | +6.5 | W by 13 | +19.5 |
| 10/14 | Away | Pittsburgh | -7.0 | L by 17 | -24.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Duke | -5.0 | W by 23 | +18.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | VA Tech | -9.0 | W by 31 | +22.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | Virginia | -20.0 | W by 7 | -13.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Miami | (Pick) | W by 7 | +7.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Kentucky | -7.5 | L by 7 | -14.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Florida St | -1.0 | L by 10 | -11.0 |
| 12/27 | Neutral | USC | -5.0 | L by 14 | -19.0 |
| LOU -3.0 | Open | -1.0 | High | -3.0 |
| Last | -2.5 | Low | -1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 400 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2 to 4 points. In these games:
- The team like Louisville won the game 223 times (55.8%).
- The team like Kentucky won the game 177 times (44.3%).
- The team like Kentucky did better against the spread, going 211-176-13 (54.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.0 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 255 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 133-119-3 (52.8% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.0 | -3.0 | -- |
| Open | -2.5 | -2.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/27 07:34 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/27 07:32 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 07:17 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 07:04 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/27 06:47 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 06:17 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 05:23 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 04:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/27 04:44 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 04:24 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/27 04:14 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/27 04:05 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 03:17 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 03:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/27 02:54 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/27 02:44 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 01:26 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 12:24 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/27 11:53 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 11:35 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 10:50 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 10:41 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 10:14 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/27 09:50 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 08:53 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 08:20 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 07:24 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/27 07:11 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 06:14 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/27 05:56 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 05:14 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/27 12:04 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/26 10:56 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/26 12:35 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/26 11:18 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/26 10:14 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/26 09:53 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/26 08:45 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/26 02:08 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 04:38 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 03:56 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 08:05 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 10:56 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 06:14 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 04:20 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 02:44 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/23 02:24 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/23 02:08 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 01:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/23 01:50 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 01:23 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 04:17 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 06:24 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/22 04:14 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/22 02:23 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 09:04 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/22 08:53 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 03:14 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/21 10:44 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/21 10:35 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 06:44 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/21 06:14 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/21 04:26 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
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