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Northwestern at Illinois
Sat Nov 27, 2021
3:30pm ET
Champaign, IL
Northwestern at Illinois: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Illinois by 7, Total Points: 45
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NW | adv | ILL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-4-0 | 3-9-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-2-0 | 3-6-0 | |
| Streak | W7 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 4-2-0 | 0-7-0 | |
| Away | 5-2-0 | 3-2-0 |
Northwestern Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03 | Away | Rutgers | +5.0 | L by 17 | -12.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | TX El Paso | -1.0 | W by 31 | +30.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Duke | +17.0 | L by 24 | -7.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Minnesota | +12.0 | W by 3 | +15.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Penn St | +26.5 | L by 28 | -1.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Howard | -23.0 | W by 3 | -20.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Nebraska | +10.5 | L by 8 | +2.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Maryland | +14.5 | W by 6 | +20.5 |
| 11/04 | Neutral | Iowa | +5.0 | L by 3 | +2.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Wisconsin | +12.5 | W by 14 | +26.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Purdue | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Illinois | +6.5 | W by 2 | +8.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Utah | +7.0 | W by 7 | +14.0 |
Illinois Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Toledo | -7.5 | W by 2 | -5.5 |
| 09/08 | Away | Kansas | +3.5 | L by 11 | -7.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Penn St | +14.0 | L by 17 | -3.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Fla Atlantic | -16.0 | W by 6 | -10.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Purdue | -1.0 | L by 25 | -26.0 |
| 10/06 | Home | Nebraska | -3.0 | L by 13 | -16.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | Maryland | +13.0 | W by 3 | +16.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Wisconsin | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Minnesota | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Indiana | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Iowa | +3.0 | L by 2 | +1.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Northwestern | -6.5 | L by 2 | -8.5 |
| ILL -7.0 | Open | +6.5 | High | -7.5 |
| Last | -7.5 | Low | +6.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 339 games where the closing line favored the home team by 6 to 8 points. In these games:
- The team like Illinois won the game 239 times (70.5%).
- The team like Northwestern won the game 100 times (29.5%).
- The team like Northwestern did better against the spread, going 170-160-9 (51.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 0 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 13.5 points more than the opening line.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.0 | -7.0 | -- |
| Open | -6.5 | -6.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/27 03:35 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 03:14 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/27 03:11 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 02:11 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 01:47 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 01:44 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/27 01:26 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 12:41 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 09:41 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 08:32 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 08:20 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 07:32 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/26 10:44 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/26 07:08 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 01:41 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 05:02 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 01:47 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 08:05 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 12:04 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 11/22 11:14 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/22 12:05 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 06:14 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 11/21 04:26 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
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