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Northwestern at Penn St
Sat Oct 1, 2022
3:30pm ET
University Park, PA
Northwestern at Penn St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Penn St. by 25.5, Total Points: 50
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NW | adv | PSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-4-0 | 9-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-2-0 | 6-3-0 | |
| Streak | W7 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 4-2-0 | 5-2-0 | |
| Away | 5-2-0 | 4-2-0 |
Northwestern Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03 | Away | Rutgers | +5.0 | L by 17 | -12.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | TX El Paso | -1.0 | W by 31 | +30.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Duke | +17.0 | L by 24 | -7.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Minnesota | +12.0 | W by 3 | +15.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Penn St | +26.5 | L by 28 | -1.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Howard | -23.0 | W by 3 | -20.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Nebraska | +10.5 | L by 8 | +2.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Maryland | +14.5 | W by 6 | +20.5 |
| 11/04 | Neutral | Iowa | +5.0 | L by 3 | +2.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Wisconsin | +12.5 | W by 14 | +26.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Purdue | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Illinois | +6.5 | W by 2 | +8.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Utah | +7.0 | W by 7 | +14.0 |
Penn St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | W Virginia | -21.0 | W by 23 | +2.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Delaware | -44.0 | W by 56 | +12.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Illinois | -14.0 | W by 17 | +3.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Iowa | -14.0 | W by 31 | +17.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Northwestern | -26.5 | W by 28 | +1.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | U Mass | -42.0 | W by 63 | +21.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Ohio St | +4.0 | L by 8 | -4.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Indiana | -31.0 | W by 9 | -22.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Maryland | -7.5 | W by 36 | +28.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Michigan | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Rutgers | -19.5 | W by 21 | +1.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | Michigan St | -22.5 | W by 42 | +19.5 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Mississippi | -6.0 | L by 13 | -19.0 |
| PSU -25.5 | Open | -26.5 | High | -26.5 |
| Last | -25.0 | Low | -25.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 65 games where the closing line favored the home team by 24.5 to 26.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Penn State won the game 60 times (92.3%).
- The team like Northwestern won the game 5 times (7.7%).
- The team like Northwestern did better against the spread, going 33-32 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.0 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 college football season there have been 384 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Northwestern did better against the spread, going 195-184-5 (51.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -25.5 | -25.5 | -- |
| Open | -25.0 | -25.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/01 03:23 PM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 03:02 PM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 10:29 AM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 09:08 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 07:50 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 12:22 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 12:11 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 12:04 PM | -- | -25.5 | -- |
| 09/30 11:53 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 08:50 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 12:56 AM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 03:06 PM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 10:08 AM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 07:35 PM | -- | -25.0 | -- |
| 09/28 07:17 PM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 05:53 PM | -26.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 07:24 PM | -- | -26.5 | -- |
| 09/27 01:34 PM | -- | -27.0 | -- |
| 09/27 10:23 AM | -26.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 09:54 AM | -- | -26.5 | -- |
| 09/27 08:45 AM | -- | -26.0 | -- |
| 09/26 09:23 AM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 08:17 AM | -25.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 07:07 PM | -25.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 05:14 PM | -- | -25.5 | -- |
| 09/25 05:13 PM | -25.0 | -- | -- |
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