ATS Situational Trends

Record NW adv MSU
Season 9-4-0 5-6-1
vs Conference 7-2-0 3-5-1
Streak W7 L1
Last 5 5-0-0 2-3-0
Last 10 8-2-0 3-6-1
Home 4-2-0 3-4-0
Away 5-2-0 2-2-1

Northwestern Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
09/03 Away Rutgers +5.0 L by 17 -12.0
09/09 Home TX El Paso -1.0 W by 31 +30.0
09/16 Away Duke +17.0 L by 24 -7.0
09/23 Home Minnesota +12.0 W by 3 +15.0
09/30 Home Penn St +26.5 L by 28 -1.5
10/07 Home Howard -23.0 W by 3 -20.0
10/21 Away Nebraska +10.5 L by 8 +2.5
10/28 Home Maryland +14.5 W by 6 +20.5
11/04 Neutral Iowa +5.0 L by 3 +2.0
11/11 Away Wisconsin +12.5 W by 14 +26.5
11/18 Home Purdue -2.5 W by 8 +5.5
11/25 Away Illinois +6.5 W by 2 +8.5
12/23 Neutral Utah +7.0 W by 7 +14.0

Michigan St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
09/01 Home Central Mich -14.0 W by 24 +10.0
09/09 Home Richmond -29.0 W by 31 +2.0
09/16 Home Washington +15.0 L by 34 -19.0
09/23 Home Maryland +7.0 L by 22 -15.0
09/30 Away Iowa +10.0 L by 10 0.0
10/14 Away Rutgers +4.0 L by 3 +1.0
10/21 Home Michigan +25.5 L by 49 -23.5
10/28 Away Minnesota +6.5 L by 15 -8.5
11/04 Home Nebraska +3.0 W by 3 +6.0
11/11 Away Ohio St +32.0 L by 35 -3.0
11/18 Away Indiana +3.5 W by 3 +6.5
11/24 Home Penn St +22.5 L by 42 -19.5
NW -13.5 Open -11.0 High -14.0
Last -14.0 Low -11.0

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2015-2016 college football season there have been 165 games where the closing line favored the away team by 12.5 to 14.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Northwestern won the game 137 times (83.0%).
  • The team like Michigan State won the game 28 times (17.0%).
  • The team like Northwestern did better against the spread, going 95-69-1 (57.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.2 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 24 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2.5 points more than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Michigan State did better against the spread, going 14-9-1 (60.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 3.8 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -13.5 -13.5 --
Open -11.0 -11.0 --
History
11/28 03:32 PM -13.5 -- --
11/28 03:11 PM -13.5 -- --
11/28 02:47 PM -13.5 -- --
11/28 02:20 PM -13.5 -- --
11/28 02:11 PM -13.5 -- --
11/28 01:56 PM -13.5 -- --
11/28 01:17 PM -13.5 -- --
11/28 01:14 PM -13.5 -- --
11/28 12:02 PM -13.5 -- --
11/28 11:56 AM -14.0 -- --
11/28 10:53 AM -14.0 -- --
11/28 10:29 AM -14.0 -- --
11/28 10:14 AM -13.5 -- --
11/28 08:59 AM -13.5 -- --
11/28 08:50 AM -14.0 -- --
11/28 08:08 AM -14.0 -- --
11/28 06:59 AM -14.0 -- --
11/28 06:56 AM -14.0 -- --
11/28 04:53 AM -13.5 -- --
11/28 01:47 AM -13.5 -- --
11/27 11:44 PM -- -13.5 --
11/27 09:44 PM -- -13.0 --
11/27 09:14 PM -- -13.5 --
11/27 11:50 AM -13.5 -- --
11/27 01:20 AM -12.0 -- --
11/26 05:23 PM -12.0 -- --
11/26 12:35 PM -- -13.0 --
11/26 10:41 AM -12.0 -- --
11/26 08:05 AM -12.0 -- --
11/26 05:20 AM -12.0 -- --
11/26 01:50 AM -12.0 -- --
11/25 10:44 PM -13.5 -- --
11/25 08:05 AM -13.5 -- --
11/25 02:44 AM -13.5 -- --
11/24 10:11 PM -13.5 -- --
11/24 03:59 PM -13.5 -- --
11/24 02:53 PM -13.5 -- --
11/24 02:05 PM -13.5 -- --
11/24 01:38 AM -13.5 -- --
11/23 05:53 PM -13.5 -- --
11/23 05:24 PM -- -13.5 --
11/23 05:14 PM -13.5 -- --
11/23 01:14 PM -- -13.0 --
11/23 10:05 AM -- -11.0 --
11/23 09:47 AM -11.0 -- --
11/23 08:34 AM -- -11.0 --
11/23 08:17 AM -11.0 -- --
11/22 04:54 PM -- -11.0 --
11/22 04:41 PM -11.0 -- --