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Nevada at Fresno St
Sat Oct 23, 2021
7:00pm ET
Fresno, CA
Nevada at Fresno St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Fresno St. by 3.5, Total Points: 64.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NEV | adv | FRES |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6-0 | 5-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 1-7-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| Away | 4-2-0 | 3-4-0 |
Nevada Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | USC | +37.5 | L by 52 | -14.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Idaho | +5.0 | L by 27 | -22.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Kansas | +28.0 | L by 7 | +21.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Texas St | +17.0 | L by 11 | +6.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Fresno St | +25.5 | L by 18 | +7.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | UNLV | +7.5 | L by 18 | -10.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | San Diego St | +11.0 | W by 6 | +17.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | New Mexico | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Hawaii | -3.5 | L by 13 | -16.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Utah St | +15.0 | L by 17 | -2.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Colorado St | +12.5 | L by 10 | +2.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Wyoming | +11.5 | L by 36 | -24.5 |
Fresno St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Purdue | +4.0 | W by 4 | +8.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | E Washingtn | -30.0 | W by 3 | -27.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Arizona St | -4.0 | W by 29 | +25.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Kent St | -27.0 | W by 43 | +16.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Nevada | -25.5 | W by 18 | -7.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Wyoming | -5.5 | L by 5 | -10.5 |
| 10/13 | Away | Utah St | -5.5 | W by 5 | -0.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | UNLV | -10.5 | W by 7 | -3.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Boise St | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | San Jose St | +2.0 | L by 24 | -22.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | New Mexico | -22.0 | L by 8 | -30.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | San Diego St | -4.5 | L by 15 | -19.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | N Mex State | +3.0 | W by 27 | +30.0 |
| FRES -3.5 | Open | -1.5 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -3.0 | Low | -1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 373 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Fresno State won the game 212 times (56.8%).
- The team like Nevada won the game 161 times (43.2%).
- The team like Nevada did better against the spread, going 196-165-12 (54.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 234 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Fresno State did better against the spread, going 119-112-3 (51.5% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.5 | -3.5 | -- |
| Open | -4.0 | -4.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/23 06:59 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 06:04 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/23 03:11 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 11:41 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 11:05 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 09:56 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 08:35 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 07:20 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 07:05 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 12:56 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 06:11 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 12:50 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 10:17 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 08:34 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/21 07:14 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/21 05:54 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/21 05:04 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/21 04:29 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 03:54 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/21 03:14 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/20 11:56 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 08:08 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 11:20 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 03:17 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 01:34 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/18 01:23 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 11:29 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 11:23 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 11:05 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 09:14 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 05:34 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/17 04:13 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
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