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Michigan at Penn St
Sat Oct 19, 2019
7:30pm ET
University Park, PA
Michigan at Penn St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Penn St. by 7.5, Total Points: 47
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MICH | adv | PSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-5-1 | 9-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-2-1 | 6-3-0 | |
| Streak | W4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-1 | 5-2-0 | |
| Away | 7-1-0 | 4-2-0 |
Michigan Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | E Carolina | -35.5 | W by 27 | -8.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | UNLV | -38.0 | W by 28 | -10.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Bowling Grn | -41.0 | W by 25 | -16.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Rutgers | -24.0 | W by 24 | 0.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Nebraska | -17.5 | W by 38 | +20.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Minnesota | -19.0 | W by 42 | +23.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Indiana | -32.5 | W by 45 | +12.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Michigan St | -25.5 | W by 49 | +23.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Purdue | -31.0 | W by 28 | -3.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Penn St | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Maryland | -17.5 | W by 7 | -10.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Ohio St | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Iowa | -21.5 | W by 26 | +4.5 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | Alabama | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 01/08 | Neutral | Washington | -5.5 | W by 21 | +15.5 |
Penn St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | W Virginia | -21.0 | W by 23 | +2.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Delaware | -44.0 | W by 56 | +12.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Illinois | -14.0 | W by 17 | +3.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Iowa | -14.0 | W by 31 | +17.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Northwestern | -26.5 | W by 28 | +1.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | U Mass | -42.0 | W by 63 | +21.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Ohio St | +4.0 | L by 8 | -4.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Indiana | -31.0 | W by 9 | -22.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Maryland | -7.5 | W by 36 | +28.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Michigan | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Rutgers | -19.5 | W by 21 | +1.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | Michigan St | -22.5 | W by 42 | +19.5 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Mississippi | -6.0 | L by 13 | -19.0 |
| PSU -7.5 | Open | +4.5 | High | -9.0 |
| Last | -9.0 | Low | +4.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 350 games where the closing line favored the home team by 6.5 to 8.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Penn State won the game 236 times (67.4%).
- The team like Michigan won the game 114 times (32.6%).
- The team like Michigan did better against the spread, going 188-150-12 (55.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 0 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 12 points more than the opening line.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.5 | -7.5 | -- |
| Open | -7.5 | -7.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/19 07:44 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 07:16 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 06:52 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 06:22 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 05:26 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 04:54 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 03:38 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 02:54 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/19 02:37 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 02:24 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/19 01:34 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/19 01:18 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 12:24 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/19 12:12 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 11:54 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/19 11:48 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 11:24 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/19 11:18 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 10:47 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 10:44 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/19 10:27 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 08:41 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 04:19 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 02:28 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 10:24 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/18 10:17 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 09:58 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 09:24 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 08:38 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 06:59 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 05:54 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 02:33 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 11:30 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 09:55 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 09:44 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 09:15 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 01:02 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 09:24 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 05:08 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 10:02 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 04:02 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 03:14 PM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 10/16 03:00 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 01:54 PM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 10/16 11:35 AM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 10/16 11:08 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 09:53 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 08:53 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 04:47 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 08:34 PM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 10/15 02:54 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 10/15 02:46 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 02:23 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 01:02 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 09:39 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 04:54 PM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 10/14 04:42 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 04:14 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 10/14 03:44 PM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 10/14 03:36 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 02:14 PM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 10/14 01:54 PM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 10/14 01:24 PM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 10/14 01:15 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 12:14 PM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 10/14 11:57 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 11:56 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 10:14 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 08:33 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 08:04 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 10:04 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/13 08:53 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/13 08:34 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/13 07:54 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/13 07:41 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
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