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Michigan at Michigan St
Sat Oct 30, 2021
12:00pm ET
East Lansing, MI
Michigan at Michigan St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Michigan by 4, Total Points: 50.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MICH | adv | MSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-5-1 | 5-6-1 | |
| vs Conference | 7-2-1 | 3-5-1 | |
| Streak | W4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 3-6-1 | |
| Home | 2-4-1 | 3-4-0 | |
| Away | 7-1-0 | 2-2-1 |
Michigan Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | E Carolina | -35.5 | W by 27 | -8.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | UNLV | -38.0 | W by 28 | -10.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Bowling Grn | -41.0 | W by 25 | -16.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Rutgers | -24.0 | W by 24 | 0.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Nebraska | -17.5 | W by 38 | +20.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Minnesota | -19.0 | W by 42 | +23.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Indiana | -32.5 | W by 45 | +12.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Michigan St | -25.5 | W by 49 | +23.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Purdue | -31.0 | W by 28 | -3.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Penn St | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Maryland | -17.5 | W by 7 | -10.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Ohio St | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Iowa | -21.5 | W by 26 | +4.5 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | Alabama | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 01/08 | Neutral | Washington | -5.5 | W by 21 | +15.5 |
Michigan St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Home | Central Mich | -14.0 | W by 24 | +10.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Richmond | -29.0 | W by 31 | +2.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Washington | +15.0 | L by 34 | -19.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Maryland | +7.0 | L by 22 | -15.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Iowa | +10.0 | L by 10 | 0.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | Rutgers | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Michigan | +25.5 | L by 49 | -23.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Minnesota | +6.5 | L by 15 | -8.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Nebraska | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Ohio St | +32.0 | L by 35 | -3.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Indiana | +3.5 | W by 3 | +6.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Penn St | +22.5 | L by 42 | -19.5 |
| MICH -4.0 | Open | -6.5 | High | -6.5 |
| Last | -4.5 | Low | -2.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 315 games where the closing line favored the away team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:
- The team like Michigan won the game 187 times (59.4%).
- The team like Michigan State won the game 128 times (40.6%).
- The team like Michigan State did better against the spread, going 156-152-7 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 184 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Michigan State did better against the spread, going 94-88-2 (51.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.0 | -4.0 | -- |
| Open | -3.5 | -4.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/30 12:04 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/30 12:02 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 11:38 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 10:47 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 10:32 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 09:56 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 09:24 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/30 09:23 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 08:59 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 08:35 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 04:35 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 04:05 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 02:32 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 03:47 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 02:05 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 12:59 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 11:44 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 10:34 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/28 08:04 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/27 10:14 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/27 09:56 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 08:44 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/27 03:55 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/27 02:24 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/27 12:44 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/27 12:38 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 12:08 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 08:02 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 04:11 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 03:11 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 07:50 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 12:02 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 07:24 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/25 07:14 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/25 06:04 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/25 05:24 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/25 04:44 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/25 04:41 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 04:24 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/25 02:32 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 02:14 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/25 01:11 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 12:38 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 09:50 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 10:47 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 06:16 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 06:14 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/24 05:34 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/24 05:24 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/24 04:44 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/24 04:31 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
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