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Projections last updated: Sep 10, 2023 Passing Rushing Fantasy
Rank Player Team Bye Cmp Att Cmp% Y/A Yds TD Int Att Yds Y/A TD FPts
1 Josh Allen BUF 13 374 588 63.7 7.3 4288 32.4 13.4 108 623 5.8 5.8 372.5
2 Jalen Hurts PHI 10 339 509 66.6 7.9 4004 24.3 8.9 159 737 4.6 9.3 369.0
3 Patrick Mahomes KC 10 413 619 66.7 7.6 4716 36.2 11.0 57 315 5.5 3.0 361.0
4 Joe Burrow CIN 7 414 601 69.0 7.6 4570 35.5 11.7 68 251 3.7 3.2 345.7
5 Lamar Jackson BAL 13 314 482 65.1 7.3 3523 24.7 10.4 131 789 6.0 4.6 325.4
6 Justin Herbert LAC 5 418 620 67.3 7.3 4518 29.8 9.8 60 230 3.8 1.7 313.5
7 Justin Fields CHI 13 263 420 62.6 7.4 3091 20.5 12.6 143 905 6.4 6.8 311.8
8 Trevor Lawrence JAC 9 386 582 66.4 7.3 4245 27.4 10.3 55 246 4.5 3.0 301.4
9 Deshaun Watson CLE 5 337 522 64.5 7.3 3833 24.3 11.7 85 409 4.8 4.2 293.2
10 Geno Smith SEA 5 362 542 66.7 7.5 4077 25.6 10.2 69 319 4.6 1.5 285.9
11 Daniel Jones NYG 13 348 526 66.1 6.7 3548 19.4 9.7 93 546 5.8 4.9 284.1
12 Dak Prescott DAL 7 362 550 65.9 7.2 3945 26.3 13.0 61 248 4.1 2.6 277.4
13 Tua Tagovailoa MIA 10 366 563 65.0 7.5 4219 26.9 11.2 39 115 3.0 1.5 274.5
14 Kirk Cousins MIN 13 399 599 66.6 7.2 4298 27.0 12.9 30 87 2.9 1.5 271.8
15 Anthony Richardson IND 11 233 400 58.3 6.8 2721 15.8 10.3 142 801 5.6 6.3 269.4
16 Jared Goff DET 9 374 573 65.2 7.3 4206 26.0 10.9 26 71 2.7 1.1 264.1
17 Aaron Rodgers NYJ 7 360 553 65.0 7.1 3942 27.0 11.0 30 69 2.3 1.8 261.3
18 Russell Wilson DEN 9 336 511 65.7 7.3 3736 20.8 14.1 49 245 5.0 2.6 244.5
19 Derek Carr NO 11 338 526 64.2 7.3 3851 23.7 12.5 28 86 3.0 1.0 238.4
20 Kenny Pickett PIT 6 350 540 64.8 6.8 3683 19.1 13.7 62 258 4.2 2.7 238.3
21 Jordan Love GB 6 302 489 61.8 6.9 3356 19.5 12.9 68 313 4.6 2.8 234.5
22 C.J. Stroud HOU 7 321 522 61.5 6.7 3478 18.9 14.7 66 293 4.4 2.8 231.8
23 Bryce Young CAR 7 306 493 62.1 6.7 3322 19.6 13.5 64 293 4.6 2.8 230.4
24 Matthew Stafford LAR 10 351 537 65.4 7.1 3796 23.3 12.7 23 38 1.7 0.7 227.7
25 Jimmy Garoppolo LV 13 346 522 66.3 7.3 3825 21.4 12.4 20 35 1.8 0.9 222.7
26 Sam Howell WAS 14 292 472 61.9 6.9 3250 18.9 13.5 64 299 4.6 2.2 221.7
27 Mac Jones NE 11 337 513 65.6 6.8 3494 19.7 11.7 45 122 2.7 1.7 217.5
27 Desmond Ridder ATL 11 271 434 62.4 7.1 3066 17.9 11.2 72 289 4.0 2.8 217.5
29 Brock Purdy SF 9 279 427 65.3 7.7 3307 20.0 9.7 46 138 3.0 1.5 215.7
30 Ryan Tannehill TEN 7 288 457 63.0 7.0 3223 18.8 11.5 35 112 3.2 1.3 200.1
31 Kyler Murray ARI 14 224 338 66.3 6.6 2245 11.3 8.6 64 347 5.4 2.6 168.5
32 Baker Mayfield TB 5 235 384 61.3 6.6 2524 12.8 10.7 30 106 3.5 1.1 148.0
33 Kyle Trask TB 5 116 189 61.2 6.4 1215 6.0 7.3 17 56 3.3 0.6 67.2
34 Joshua Dobbs ARI 14 80 130 61.9 6.2 799 3.8 3.3 19 61 3.3 0.6 50.3
35 Sam Darnold SF 9 49 77 63.8 7.5 578 3.3 1.8 15 66 4.3 0.5 42.3
36 Taylor Heinicke ATL 11 49 77 63.4 7.0 533 3.2 2.0 7 21 3.0 0.2 33.4
37 Clayton Tune ARI 14 57 96 59.6 6.0 571 2.9 3.0 9 37 4.3 0.2 33.3
38 Jacoby Brissett WAS 14 44 72 60.9 6.5 469 2.6 1.7 7 21 3.2 0.4 30.2
39 Mike White MIA 10 40 63 63.6 7.2 448 3.0 1.5 5 14 2.8 0.2 29.5
40 Gardner Minshew IND 11 41 65 62.7 7.0 458 2.8 2.1 9 26 3.0 0.1 28.5
41 Andy Dalton CAR 7 39 61 63.4 7.4 449 2.5 1.4 4 8 1.9 0.1 26.5
42 Stetson Bennett LAR 10 40 66 60.2 6.5 431 2.3 1.9 8 26 3.3 0.2 26.4
43 Will Levis TEN 7 24 42 56.0 6.6 280 1.5 1.2 15 57 3.9 0.8 25.3
44 Hendon Hooker DET 9 26 43 61.3 6.8 292 1.7 0.9 9 46 4.9 0.4 23.7
45 Tyrod Taylor NYG 13 29 46 63.3 6.6 304 1.6 0.8 7 39 5.6 0.3 22.7
46 Cooper Rush DAL 7 28 45 62.1 7.0 311 2.0 1.1 4 14 3.3 0.2 20.9
47 Davis Mills HOU 7 31 52 60.0 6.4 331 1.6 1.6 5 21 4.2 0.3 20.4
48 Blaine Gabbert KC 10 29 47 62.7 7.0 328 1.9 1.1 3 12 4.6 0.1 20.3
49 Nick Mullens MIN 13 29 45 64.5 7.0 314 1.9 1.4 4 14 3.2 0.2 19.9
49 Dorian Thompson-Robinson CLE 5 25 39 62.3 7.0 275 1.7 0.9 6 27 4.5 0.2 19.9

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Fantasy Football QB Projections 2023

This page is for those that want to dig a little deeper into our fantasy football QB projections to see how many touchdowns, passing yards, or rushing yards we predict for each quarterback. We projected each team’s passing and rushing stats using sports betting information such as the preseason over/under win totals for each team, as well as the passing and rushing stats from the previous year. You can see a fuller explanation here.

From that, we created these 2023 fantasy football QB projections. You can sort the various categories, such as passing yards, passing attempts, passing touchdowns (TD), as well as rushing statistics, in the table if you would like.

Who Do We Predict to Lead Key Categories in Our Fantasy Football QB Projections?

For example, you can see that we project Patrick Mahomes as the favorite to lead the NFL in TD passes in 2023, followed closely by Joe Burrow, with Josh Allen, Justin Herbert, and Trevor Lawrence rounding out the top five. Patrick Mahomes, Matthew Stafford, and Aaron Rodgers. Mahomes is projected to have the most passing yards, ahead of Burrow, Herbert, Kirk Cousins, and Lawrence. 

For rushing, we have three different quarterbacks projected for over 800 yards, with Justin Fields just ahead of Lamar Jackson and Colts rookie Anthony Richardson. 

Fantasy Football QB Projections by Team

If you want to see how each team is projected in overall passing, you can also sort by the team column. Adding up the QBs will get you 99% of the way there for most teams (some running backs and wide receivers do get passing yards, and we have a small amount of attempts designated to those other positions). For example, if you add up the passing stats for Kyler Murray, Colt McCoy, and Clayton Tune, you can see that we are projecting the Arizona Cardinals quarterbacks to throw 574 passes for 3,685 passing yards and 19.0 passing touchdowns. 

2023 Fantasy Football QB Projections Highlights

  • Anthony Richardson was drafted fourth overall, but is projected as the highest scoring rookie thanks to his likely extreme rushing yard splits and athletic ability. 

  • Aaron Rodgers will be in New York, and we see the Jets' QB throwing for just over 4000 yards this season.

  • San Francisco's QB situation is unsettled, as Brock Purdy is coming off surgery this offseason, and Trey Lance and Sam Darnold are also in the mix to start. We see Purdy as most likely to lead the team in passing, though his status could shift up until the season starts.