Projections last updated: Sep 10, 2023 | Passing | Rushing | Fantasy | ||||||||||||
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Rank | Player | Team | Bye | Cmp | Att | Cmp% | Y/A | Yds | TD | Int | Att | Yds | Y/A | TD | FPts |
1 | Josh Allen | BUF | 13 | 374 | 588 | 63.7 | 7.3 | 4288 | 32.4 | 13.4 | 108 | 623 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 372.5 |
2 | Jalen Hurts | PHI | 10 | 339 | 509 | 66.6 | 7.9 | 4004 | 24.3 | 8.9 | 159 | 737 | 4.6 | 9.3 | 369.0 |
3 | Patrick Mahomes | KC | 10 | 413 | 619 | 66.7 | 7.6 | 4716 | 36.2 | 11.0 | 57 | 315 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 361.0 |
4 | Joe Burrow | CIN | 7 | 414 | 601 | 69.0 | 7.6 | 4570 | 35.5 | 11.7 | 68 | 251 | 3.7 | 3.2 | 345.7 |
5 | Lamar Jackson | BAL | 13 | 314 | 482 | 65.1 | 7.3 | 3523 | 24.7 | 10.4 | 131 | 789 | 6.0 | 4.6 | 325.4 |
6 | Justin Herbert | LAC | 5 | 418 | 620 | 67.3 | 7.3 | 4518 | 29.8 | 9.8 | 60 | 230 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 313.5 |
7 | Justin Fields | CHI | 13 | 263 | 420 | 62.6 | 7.4 | 3091 | 20.5 | 12.6 | 143 | 905 | 6.4 | 6.8 | 311.8 |
8 | Trevor Lawrence | JAC | 9 | 386 | 582 | 66.4 | 7.3 | 4245 | 27.4 | 10.3 | 55 | 246 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 301.4 |
9 | Deshaun Watson | CLE | 5 | 337 | 522 | 64.5 | 7.3 | 3833 | 24.3 | 11.7 | 85 | 409 | 4.8 | 4.2 | 293.2 |
10 | Geno Smith | SEA | 5 | 362 | 542 | 66.7 | 7.5 | 4077 | 25.6 | 10.2 | 69 | 319 | 4.6 | 1.5 | 285.9 |
11 | Daniel Jones | NYG | 13 | 348 | 526 | 66.1 | 6.7 | 3548 | 19.4 | 9.7 | 93 | 546 | 5.8 | 4.9 | 284.1 |
12 | Dak Prescott | DAL | 7 | 362 | 550 | 65.9 | 7.2 | 3945 | 26.3 | 13.0 | 61 | 248 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 277.4 |
13 | Tua Tagovailoa | MIA | 10 | 366 | 563 | 65.0 | 7.5 | 4219 | 26.9 | 11.2 | 39 | 115 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 274.5 |
14 | Kirk Cousins | MIN | 13 | 399 | 599 | 66.6 | 7.2 | 4298 | 27.0 | 12.9 | 30 | 87 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 271.8 |
15 | Anthony Richardson | IND | 11 | 233 | 400 | 58.3 | 6.8 | 2721 | 15.8 | 10.3 | 142 | 801 | 5.6 | 6.3 | 269.4 |
16 | Jared Goff | DET | 9 | 374 | 573 | 65.2 | 7.3 | 4206 | 26.0 | 10.9 | 26 | 71 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 264.1 |
17 | Aaron Rodgers | NYJ | 7 | 360 | 553 | 65.0 | 7.1 | 3942 | 27.0 | 11.0 | 30 | 69 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 261.3 |
18 | Russell Wilson | DEN | 9 | 336 | 511 | 65.7 | 7.3 | 3736 | 20.8 | 14.1 | 49 | 245 | 5.0 | 2.6 | 244.5 |
19 | Derek Carr | NO | 11 | 338 | 526 | 64.2 | 7.3 | 3851 | 23.7 | 12.5 | 28 | 86 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 238.4 |
20 | Kenny Pickett | PIT | 6 | 350 | 540 | 64.8 | 6.8 | 3683 | 19.1 | 13.7 | 62 | 258 | 4.2 | 2.7 | 238.3 |
21 | Jordan Love | GB | 6 | 302 | 489 | 61.8 | 6.9 | 3356 | 19.5 | 12.9 | 68 | 313 | 4.6 | 2.8 | 234.5 |
22 | C.J. Stroud | HOU | 7 | 321 | 522 | 61.5 | 6.7 | 3478 | 18.9 | 14.7 | 66 | 293 | 4.4 | 2.8 | 231.8 |
23 | Bryce Young | CAR | 7 | 306 | 493 | 62.1 | 6.7 | 3322 | 19.6 | 13.5 | 64 | 293 | 4.6 | 2.8 | 230.4 |
24 | Matthew Stafford | LAR | 10 | 351 | 537 | 65.4 | 7.1 | 3796 | 23.3 | 12.7 | 23 | 38 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 227.7 |
25 | Jimmy Garoppolo | LV | 13 | 346 | 522 | 66.3 | 7.3 | 3825 | 21.4 | 12.4 | 20 | 35 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 222.7 |
26 | Sam Howell | WAS | 14 | 292 | 472 | 61.9 | 6.9 | 3250 | 18.9 | 13.5 | 64 | 299 | 4.6 | 2.2 | 221.7 |
27 | Mac Jones | NE | 11 | 337 | 513 | 65.6 | 6.8 | 3494 | 19.7 | 11.7 | 45 | 122 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 217.5 |
27 | Desmond Ridder | ATL | 11 | 271 | 434 | 62.4 | 7.1 | 3066 | 17.9 | 11.2 | 72 | 289 | 4.0 | 2.8 | 217.5 |
29 | Brock Purdy | SF | 9 | 279 | 427 | 65.3 | 7.7 | 3307 | 20.0 | 9.7 | 46 | 138 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 215.7 |
30 | Ryan Tannehill | TEN | 7 | 288 | 457 | 63.0 | 7.0 | 3223 | 18.8 | 11.5 | 35 | 112 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 200.1 |
31 | Kyler Murray | ARI | 14 | 224 | 338 | 66.3 | 6.6 | 2245 | 11.3 | 8.6 | 64 | 347 | 5.4 | 2.6 | 168.5 |
32 | Baker Mayfield | TB | 5 | 235 | 384 | 61.3 | 6.6 | 2524 | 12.8 | 10.7 | 30 | 106 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 148.0 |
33 | Kyle Trask | TB | 5 | 116 | 189 | 61.2 | 6.4 | 1215 | 6.0 | 7.3 | 17 | 56 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 67.2 |
34 | Joshua Dobbs | ARI | 14 | 80 | 130 | 61.9 | 6.2 | 799 | 3.8 | 3.3 | 19 | 61 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 50.3 |
35 | Sam Darnold | SF | 9 | 49 | 77 | 63.8 | 7.5 | 578 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 15 | 66 | 4.3 | 0.5 | 42.3 |
36 | Taylor Heinicke | ATL | 11 | 49 | 77 | 63.4 | 7.0 | 533 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 7 | 21 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 33.4 |
37 | Clayton Tune | ARI | 14 | 57 | 96 | 59.6 | 6.0 | 571 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 9 | 37 | 4.3 | 0.2 | 33.3 |
38 | Jacoby Brissett | WAS | 14 | 44 | 72 | 60.9 | 6.5 | 469 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 7 | 21 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 30.2 |
39 | Mike White | MIA | 10 | 40 | 63 | 63.6 | 7.2 | 448 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 5 | 14 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 29.5 |
40 | Gardner Minshew | IND | 11 | 41 | 65 | 62.7 | 7.0 | 458 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 9 | 26 | 3.0 | 0.1 | 28.5 |
41 | Andy Dalton | CAR | 7 | 39 | 61 | 63.4 | 7.4 | 449 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 8 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 26.5 |
42 | Stetson Bennett | LAR | 10 | 40 | 66 | 60.2 | 6.5 | 431 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 8 | 26 | 3.3 | 0.2 | 26.4 |
43 | Will Levis | TEN | 7 | 24 | 42 | 56.0 | 6.6 | 280 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 15 | 57 | 3.9 | 0.8 | 25.3 |
44 | Hendon Hooker | DET | 9 | 26 | 43 | 61.3 | 6.8 | 292 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 9 | 46 | 4.9 | 0.4 | 23.7 |
45 | Tyrod Taylor | NYG | 13 | 29 | 46 | 63.3 | 6.6 | 304 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 7 | 39 | 5.6 | 0.3 | 22.7 |
46 | Cooper Rush | DAL | 7 | 28 | 45 | 62.1 | 7.0 | 311 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 14 | 3.3 | 0.2 | 20.9 |
47 | Davis Mills | HOU | 7 | 31 | 52 | 60.0 | 6.4 | 331 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 5 | 21 | 4.2 | 0.3 | 20.4 |
48 | Blaine Gabbert | KC | 10 | 29 | 47 | 62.7 | 7.0 | 328 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 12 | 4.6 | 0.1 | 20.3 |
49 | Nick Mullens | MIN | 13 | 29 | 45 | 64.5 | 7.0 | 314 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 14 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 19.9 |
49 | Dorian Thompson-Robinson | CLE | 5 | 25 | 39 | 62.3 | 7.0 | 275 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 27 | 4.5 | 0.2 | 19.9 |
51 | Tyler Huntley | BAL | 13 | 22 | 36 | 61.2 | 6.5 | 237 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 11 | 55 | 4.9 | 0.2 | 19.8 |
52 | Easton Stick | LAC | 5 | 30 | 47 | 63.2 | 6.9 | 324 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 2 | 7 | 3.1 | 0.1 | 19.7 |
53 | Marcus Mariota | PHI | 10 | 20 | 33 | 61.8 | 7.3 | 238 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 9 | 45 | 5.2 | 0.3 | 19.6 |
53 | Mitch Trubisky | PIT | 6 | 31 | 47 | 65.7 | 6.6 | 312 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 18 | 3.8 | 0.2 | 19.6 |
55 | Zach Wilson | NYJ | 7 | 25 | 43 | 59.2 | 6.6 | 283 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 25 | 5.6 | 0.1 | 19.4 |
56 | Drew Lock | SEA | 5 | 25 | 41 | 61.8 | 7.1 | 288 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 4 | 15 | 4.1 | 0.1 | 18.8 |
57 | Matt Barkley | BUF | 13 | 25 | 40 | 61.4 | 6.8 | 274 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 2 | 6 | 2.9 | 0.1 | 17.4 |
58 | C.J. Beathard | JAC | 9 | 28 | 44 | 63.2 | 6.8 | 300 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.2 |
59 | Trevor Siemian | CIN | 7 | 25 | 38 | 64.2 | 6.9 | 266 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 3 | 5 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 16.8 |
59 | Sean Clifford | GB | 6 | 26 | 43 | 60.1 | 6.8 | 288 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 2 | 9 | 3.6 | 0.1 | 16.8 |
61 | Jameis Winston | NO | 11 | 22 | 35 | 62.8 | 7.3 | 254 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 3 | 10 | 3.6 | 0.1 | 16.5 |
62 | Jarrett Stidham | DEN | 9 | 25 | 38 | 63.8 | 7.1 | 273 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 3 | 8 | 2.9 | 0.1 | 15.9 |
63 | Brian Hoyer | LV | 13 | 24 | 39 | 61.6 | 6.8 | 263 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 2 | 6 | 2.7 | 0.1 | 15.3 |
63 | Aidan O'Connell | LV | 13 | 20 | 33 | 59.8 | 6.6 | 215 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 19 | 3.4 | 0.3 | 15.3 |
65 | Malik Willis | TEN | 7 | 13 | 22 | 58.0 | 6.2 | 138 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 10 | 48 | 4.9 | 0.3 | 13.6 |
66 | Case Keenum | HOU | 7 | 0 | 0 | -- | -- | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 0.0 |
66 | Nate Sudfeld | DET | 9 | 0 | 0 | -- | -- | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 0.0 |
66 | Nathan Peterman | CHI | 13 | 0 | 0 | -- | -- | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 0.0 |
66 | Logan Woodside | ATL | 11 | 0 | 0 | -- | -- | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 0.0 |
66 | Will Grier | DAL | 7 | 0 | 0 | -- | -- | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 0.0 |
66 | Kyle Allen | BUF | 13 | 0 | 0 | -- | -- | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 0.0 |
66 | John Wolford | TB | 5 | 0 | 0 | -- | -- | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 0.0 |
66 | Mason Rudolph | PIT | 6 | 0 | 0 | -- | -- | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 0.0 |
66 | Alex McGough | GB | 6 | 0 | 0 | -- | -- | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 0.0 |
66 | Ben DiNucci | DEN | 9 | 0 | 0 | -- | -- | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 0.0 |
66 | Jake Browning | CIN | 7 | 0 | 0 | -- | -- | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 0.0 |
66 | Skylar Thompson | MIA | 10 | 0 | 0 | -- | -- | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 0.0 |
66 | Ian Book | PHI | 10 | 0 | 0 | -- | -- | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 0.0 |
66 | Shane Buechele | KC | 10 | 0 | 0 | -- | -- | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 0.0 |
66 | Nathan Rourke | JAC | 9 | 0 | 0 | -- | -- | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 0.0 |
66 | Tommy DeVito | NYG | 13 | 0 | 0 | -- | -- | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 0.0 |
66 | Sam Ehlinger | IND | 11 | 0 | 0 | -- | -- | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 0.0 |
66 | Jake Haener | NO | 11 | 0 | 0 | -- | -- | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 0.0 |
66 | Holton Ahlers | SEA | 5 | 0 | 0 | -- | -- | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 0.0 |
66 | Matt Corral | CAR | 7 | 0 | 0 | -- | -- | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 0.0 |
66 | Jaren Hall | MIN | 13 | 0 | 0 | -- | -- | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 0.0 |
66 | Max Duggan | LAC | 5 | 0 | 0 | -- | -- | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 0.0 |
66 | Anthony Brown | BAL | 13 | 0 | 0 | -- | -- | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 0.0 |
This page is for those that want to dig a little deeper into our fantasy football QB projections to see how many touchdowns, passing yards, or rushing yards we predict for each quarterback. We projected each team’s passing and rushing stats using sports betting information such as the preseason over/under win totals for each team, as well as the passing and rushing stats from the previous year. You can see a fuller explanation here.
From that, we created these 2023 fantasy football QB projections. You can sort the various categories, such as passing yards, passing attempts, passing touchdowns (TD), as well as rushing statistics, in the table if you would like.
For example, you can see that we project Patrick Mahomes as the favorite to lead the NFL in TD passes in 2023, followed closely by Joe Burrow, with Josh Allen, Justin Herbert, and Trevor Lawrence rounding out the top five. Patrick Mahomes, Matthew Stafford, and Aaron Rodgers. Mahomes is projected to have the most passing yards, ahead of Burrow, Herbert, Kirk Cousins, and Lawrence.
For rushing, we have three different quarterbacks projected for over 800 yards, with Justin Fields just ahead of Lamar Jackson and Colts rookie Anthony Richardson.
If you want to see how each team is projected in overall passing, you can also sort by the team column. Adding up the QBs will get you 99% of the way there for most teams (some running backs and wide receivers do get passing yards, and we have a small amount of attempts designated to those other positions). For example, if you add up the passing stats for Kyler Murray, Colt McCoy, and Clayton Tune, you can see that we are projecting the Arizona Cardinals quarterbacks to throw 574 passes for 3,685 passing yards and 19.0 passing touchdowns.
Anthony Richardson was drafted fourth overall, but is projected as the highest scoring rookie thanks to his likely extreme rushing yard splits and athletic ability.
Aaron Rodgers will be in New York, and we see the Jets' QB throwing for just over 4000 yards this season.
San Francisco's QB situation is unsettled, as Brock Purdy is coming off surgery this offseason, and Trey Lance and Sam Darnold are also in the mix to start. We see Purdy as most likely to lead the team in passing, though his status could shift up until the season starts.
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