Projections last updated: Sep 10, 2023 | Rushing | Receiving | Fantasy | ||||||||||
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Rank | Player | Team | Bye | Att | Yds | Y/A | TD | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | FPts |
1 | Christian McCaffrey | SF | 9 | 207 | 924 | 4.5 | 7.4 | 98 | 71 | 566 | 8.0 | 3.1 | 212.0 |
2 | Bijan Robinson | ATL | 11 | 237 | 1146 | 4.8 | 8.4 | 52 | 38 | 331 | 8.7 | 1.8 | 208.9 |
3 | Nick Chubb | CLE | 5 | 266 | 1232 | 4.6 | 9.3 | 35 | 26 | 218 | 8.2 | 1.0 | 206.7 |
4 | Derrick Henry | TEN | 7 | 287 | 1247 | 4.3 | 9.5 | 28 | 22 | 186 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 203.3 |
5 | Austin Ekeler | LAC | 5 | 191 | 786 | 4.1 | 6.4 | 90 | 74 | 586 | 7.9 | 4.3 | 201.4 |
6 | Tony Pollard | DAL | 7 | 224 | 1006 | 4.5 | 8.1 | 67 | 46 | 370 | 8.1 | 2.0 | 198.2 |
7 | Josh Jacobs | LV | 13 | 236 | 1103 | 4.7 | 8.8 | 49 | 33 | 237 | 7.2 | 0.7 | 190.9 |
8 | Saquon Barkley | NYG | 13 | 237 | 1037 | 4.4 | 7.9 | 60 | 47 | 320 | 6.8 | 1.2 | 190.3 |
9 | Najee Harris | PIT | 6 | 236 | 977 | 4.1 | 7.2 | 34 | 26 | 180 | 6.8 | 1.0 | 164.9 |
10 | Rhamondre Stevenson | NE | 11 | 188 | 872 | 4.6 | 5.9 | 62 | 45 | 327 | 7.2 | 1.0 | 161.3 |
11 | Kenneth Walker III | SEA | 5 | 197 | 943 | 4.8 | 6.7 | 36 | 27 | 192 | 7.2 | 0.3 | 155.5 |
12 | Jahmyr Gibbs | DET | 9 | 159 | 721 | 4.5 | 5.6 | 66 | 46 | 351 | 7.6 | 2.2 | 154.0 |
13 | Breece Hall | NYJ | 7 | 167 | 782 | 4.7 | 5.2 | 51 | 39 | 325 | 8.4 | 1.8 | 152.7 |
14 | Alexander Mattison | MIN | 13 | 188 | 774 | 4.1 | 7.1 | 44 | 33 | 231 | 7.1 | 1.1 | 149.7 |
15 | Joe Mixon | CIN | 7 | 192 | 787 | 4.1 | 6.5 | 36 | 34 | 237 | 7.0 | 1.2 | 148.6 |
16 | Miles Sanders | CAR | 7 | 220 | 971 | 4.4 | 6.2 | 21 | 16 | 109 | 6.9 | 0.4 | 147.6 |
17 | Dameon Pierce | HOU | 7 | 200 | 846 | 4.2 | 6.5 | 32 | 27 | 194 | 7.2 | 0.7 | 147.3 |
18 | Travis Etienne Jr. | JAC | 9 | 188 | 822 | 4.4 | 6.3 | 39 | 30 | 214 | 7.1 | 0.9 | 146.8 |
19 | Aaron Jones | GB | 6 | 155 | 748 | 4.8 | 4.9 | 54 | 38 | 306 | 8.0 | 1.5 | 143.8 |
20 | J.K. Dobbins | BAL | 13 | 189 | 933 | 4.9 | 5.7 | 19 | 13 | 90 | 6.7 | 0.8 | 141.4 |
21 | Isiah Pacheco | KC | 10 | 166 | 795 | 4.8 | 5.7 | 29 | 22 | 177 | 8.1 | 1.5 | 140.3 |
22 | David Montgomery | DET | 9 | 171 | 775 | 4.5 | 7.4 | 24 | 17 | 117 | 7.0 | 0.4 | 136.0 |
23 | Cam Akers | LAR | 10 | 193 | 830 | 4.3 | 6.0 | 25 | 18 | 125 | 7.1 | 0.5 | 134.4 |
24 | James Conner | ARI | 14 | 173 | 699 | 4.0 | 5.6 | 43 | 33 | 235 | 7.2 | 0.7 | 131.2 |
25 | Khalil Herbert | CHI | 13 | 174 | 825 | 4.7 | 5.4 | 25 | 17 | 117 | 7.1 | 0.4 | 129.0 |
26 | Brian Robinson | WAS | 14 | 188 | 819 | 4.4 | 5.8 | 19 | 12 | 89 | 7.2 | 0.3 | 127.4 |
27 | Javonte Williams | DEN | 9 | 154 | 677 | 4.4 | 5.1 | 41 | 30 | 221 | 7.3 | 0.8 | 125.1 |
28 | AJ Dillon | GB | 6 | 166 | 706 | 4.3 | 6.3 | 23 | 15 | 120 | 7.8 | 0.4 | 122.9 |
29 | James Cook | BUF | 13 | 119 | 543 | 4.6 | 2.3 | 64 | 46 | 351 | 7.6 | 2.4 | 117.6 |
30 | Rachaad White | TB | 5 | 145 | 607 | 4.2 | 4.3 | 42 | 34 | 251 | 7.3 | 0.8 | 116.3 |
31 | D'Andre Swift | PHI | 10 | 142 | 627 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 43 | 31 | 233 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 115.4 |
32 | Alvin Kamara | NO | 11 | 110 | 475 | 4.3 | 2.7 | 62 | 44 | 343 | 7.8 | 2.1 | 110.5 |
33 | Jonathan Taylor | IND | 11 | 142 | 652 | 4.6 | 4.1 | 31 | 24 | 162 | 6.8 | 0.7 | 110.2 |
34 | Dalvin Cook | NYJ | 7 | 140 | 603 | 4.3 | 3.6 | 38 | 30 | 216 | 7.3 | 0.9 | 108.8 |
35 | Antonio Gibson | WAS | 14 | 94 | 441 | 4.7 | 3.4 | 61 | 44 | 346 | 7.9 | 1.4 | 107.5 |
36 | Zach Charbonnet | SEA | 5 | 123 | 569 | 4.6 | 3.7 | 39 | 29 | 223 | 7.7 | 0.5 | 104.3 |
37 | Samaje Perine | DEN | 9 | 133 | 546 | 4.1 | 3.4 | 37 | 30 | 213 | 7.1 | 1.2 | 103.5 |
38 | Raheem Mostert | MIA | 10 | 124 | 524 | 4.2 | 4.3 | 29 | 21 | 159 | 7.7 | 0.9 | 99.5 |
39 | Tank Bigsby | JAC | 9 | 109 | 454 | 4.2 | 3.2 | 43 | 29 | 245 | 8.3 | 1.4 | 97.5 |
40 | Tyler Allgeier | ATL | 11 | 134 | 625 | 4.7 | 4.4 | 12 | 9 | 65 | 7.3 | 0.3 | 97.2 |
41 | Elijah Mitchell | SF | 9 | 125 | 580 | 4.6 | 4.3 | 18 | 13 | 93 | 7.4 | 0.3 | 94.9 |
42 | Rashaad Penny | PHI | 10 | 109 | 501 | 4.6 | 6.1 | 13 | 9 | 64 | 6.8 | 0.2 | 94.2 |
43 | Roschon Johnson | CHI | 13 | 119 | 526 | 4.4 | 3.0 | 33 | 23 | 174 | 7.7 | 0.9 | 93.4 |
44 | Devon Achane | MIA | 10 | 94 | 430 | 4.6 | 2.8 | 41 | 33 | 247 | 7.4 | 1.2 | 91.7 |
45 | Kyren Williams | LAR | 10 | 109 | 453 | 4.2 | 2.9 | 41 | 29 | 219 | 7.7 | 1.0 | 90.6 |
46 | Ezekiel Elliott | NE | 11 | 112 | 466 | 4.2 | 4.7 | 25 | 21 | 139 | 6.7 | 0.3 | 90.5 |
46 | Kenneth Gainwell | PHI | 10 | 109 | 488 | 4.5 | 4.3 | 27 | 19 | 136 | 7.1 | 0.4 | 90.5 |
46 | Jaylen Warren | PIT | 6 | 95 | 433 | 4.6 | 2.6 | 44 | 32 | 244 | 7.7 | 1.2 | 90.5 |
49 | Jerick McKinnon | KC | 10 | 71 | 311 | 4.4 | 2.3 | 45 | 33 | 262 | 8.0 | 2.7 | 87.4 |
50 | Devin Singletary | HOU | 7 | 110 | 467 | 4.2 | 2.7 | 29 | 24 | 164 | 6.9 | 0.8 | 84.0 |
51 | Kendre Miller | NO | 11 | 115 | 486 | 4.2 | 2.7 | 25 | 20 | 152 | 7.8 | 0.5 | 83.1 |
52 | Jamaal Williams | NO | 11 | 124 | 510 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 21 | 16 | 97 | 6.1 | 0.4 | 82.3 |
53 | Tyjae Spears | TEN | 7 | 93 | 428 | 4.6 | 2.6 | 30 | 23 | 179 | 7.8 | 1.0 | 82.2 |
54 | Damien Harris | BUF | 13 | 113 | 494 | 4.4 | 3.5 | 20 | 14 | 91 | 6.7 | 0.4 | 82.0 |
55 | Ty Chandler | MIN | 13 | 96 | 413 | 4.3 | 2.9 | 35 | 25 | 166 | 6.7 | 0.8 | 80.1 |
56 | Sean Tucker | TB | 5 | 105 | 440 | 4.2 | 3.1 | 24 | 14 | 108 | 7.7 | 0.4 | 75.8 |
57 | Rico Dowdle | DAL | 7 | 115 | 444 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 25 | 14 | 106 | 7.4 | 0.5 | 75.5 |
57 | Chuba Hubbard | CAR | 7 | 102 | 408 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 23 | 17 | 124 | 7.5 | 0.7 | 75.5 |
59 | Matt Breida | NYG | 13 | 84 | 357 | 4.3 | 2.4 | 28 | 20 | 146 | 7.2 | 0.8 | 69.5 |
60 | Clyde Edwards-Helaire | KC | 10 | 77 | 321 | 4.2 | 2.2 | 32 | 21 | 161 | 7.6 | 1.3 | 69.2 |
61 | Zamir White | LV | 13 | 95 | 419 | 4.4 | 2.7 | 14 | 9 | 73 | 7.9 | 0.3 | 67.2 |
62 | Deon Jackson | IND | 11 | 76 | 335 | 4.4 | 2.0 | 34 | 23 | 169 | 7.3 | 0.8 | 67.1 |
63 | Gus Edwards | BAL | 13 | 107 | 435 | 4.1 | 3.0 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 7.7 | 0.3 | 66.0 |
64 | Jerome Ford | CLE | 5 | 82 | 333 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 28 | 21 | 152 | 7.3 | 0.8 | 63.5 |
65 | Keaontay Ingram | ARI | 14 | 87 | 351 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 21 | 15 | 109 | 7.1 | 0.3 | 61.5 |
66 | Salvon Ahmed | MIA | 10 | 74 | 309 | 4.2 | 2.8 | 16 | 12 | 89 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 59.6 |
67 | Latavius Murray | BUF | 13 | 76 | 347 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 22 | 13 | 91 | 6.9 | 0.6 | 58.2 |
68 | Chris Evans | CIN | 7 | 56 | 252 | 4.5 | 1.1 | 29 | 22 | 184 | 8.5 | 1.2 | 57.4 |
69 | D'Onta Foreman | CHI | 13 | 90 | 379 | 4.2 | 2.4 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 7.0 | 0.1 | 55.9 |
70 | Chase Brown | CIN | 7 | 59 | 251 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 24 | 20 | 150 | 7.6 | 1.0 | 55.1 |
71 | Craig Reynolds | DET | 9 | 64 | 275 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 20 | 12 | 86 | 7.1 | 0.6 | 54.7 |
72 | Cordarrelle Patterson | ATL | 11 | 43 | 194 | 4.6 | 1.2 | 35 | 24 | 205 | 8.6 | 1.0 | 53.1 |
73 | Evan Hull | IND | 11 | 71 | 314 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 18 | 11 | 73 | 6.6 | 0.3 | 50.7 |
74 | Chase Edmonds | TB | 5 | 66 | 299 | 4.6 | 1.6 | 16 | 11 | 79 | 7.2 | 0.3 | 49.2 |
75 | Kene Nwangwu | MIN | 13 | 53 | 213 | 4.0 | 2.2 | 20 | 16 | 115 | 7.3 | 0.5 | 49.0 |
76 | Joshua Kelley | LAC | 5 | 75 | 283 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 9 | 8 | 58 | 7.3 | 0.3 | 48.5 |
77 | Isaiah Spiller | LAC | 5 | 55 | 206 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 22 | 16 | 116 | 7.2 | 0.6 | 46.6 |
78 | Israel Abanikanda | NYJ | 7 | 60 | 261 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 19 | 13 | 101 | 7.7 | 0.5 | 46.5 |
79 | Deuce Vaughn | DAL | 7 | 56 | 240 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 17 | 12 | 102 | 8.7 | 0.6 | 46.2 |
80 | Raheem Blackshear | CAR | 7 | 27 | 109 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 44 | 29 | 238 | 8.2 | 1.1 | 46.1 |
81 | Jeff Wilson Jr. | MIA | 10 | 60 | 248 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 14 | 10 | 70 | 7.2 | 0.4 | 44.9 |
82 | Dare Ogunbowale | HOU | 7 | 44 | 172 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 29 | 24 | 160 | 6.7 | 0.8 | 44.0 |
83 | Tony Jones Jr. | DEN | 9 | 62 | 265 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 6.7 | 0.2 | 43.3 |
84 | Zack Moss | IND | 11 | 61 | 252 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 17 | 11 | 73 | 6.8 | 0.3 | 42.7 |
85 | Ameer Abdullah | LV | 13 | 27 | 126 | 4.6 | 0.8 | 36 | 25 | 198 | 8.1 | 0.8 | 42.0 |
86 | Tyrion Davis-Price | SF | 9 | 50 | 222 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 7.4 | 0.3 | 41.8 |
87 | Christopher Rodriguez Jr. | WAS | 14 | 64 | 265 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 11 | 7 | 56 | 7.5 | 0.2 | 41.7 |
88 | Ke'Shawn Vaughn | TB | 5 | 46 | 183 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 25 | 17 | 123 | 7.3 | 0.4 | 41.4 |
89 | Tyler Badie | DEN | 9 | 60 | 228 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 6.5 | 0.2 | 41.0 |
90 | Justice Hill | BAL | 13 | 59 | 244 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 13 | 11 | 83 | 7.3 | 0.4 | 40.4 |
91 | Patrick Taylor | GB | 6 | 65 | 265 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 7.3 | 0.1 | 38.9 |
92 | Boston Scott | PHI | 10 | 43 | 197 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 11 | 7 | 55 | 7.7 | 0.3 | 38.4 |
93 | Trayveon Williams | CIN | 7 | 34 | 144 | 4.3 | 1.1 | 16 | 12 | 102 | 8.3 | 0.9 | 36.5 |
94 | Pierre Strong Jr. | CLE | 5 | 40 | 157 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 24 | 12 | 99 | 8.5 | 0.6 | 35.7 |
95 | DeeJay Dallas | SEA | 5 | 23 | 106 | 4.6 | 0.7 | 29 | 22 | 153 | 6.9 | 0.7 | 34.2 |
96 | Jordan Mason | SF | 9 | 31 | 143 | 4.6 | 1.1 | 17 | 12 | 85 | 7.2 | 0.4 | 31.8 |
97 | Hassan Haskins | TEN | 7 | 28 | 118 | 4.2 | 0.7 | 25 | 18 | 128 | 7.2 | 0.4 | 31.1 |
98 | D'Ernest Johnson | JAC | 9 | 43 | 164 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 10 | 6 | 46 | 7.3 | 0.2 | 30.0 |
99 | Ronnie Rivers | LAR | 10 | 34 | 144 | 4.3 | 0.9 | 12 | 8 | 60 | 7.7 | 0.3 | 27.6 |
100 | Anthony McFarland Jr. | PIT | 6 | 30 | 116 | 3.8 | 0.7 | 11 | 9 | 52 | 5.9 | 0.9 | 26.4 |
If you want a more detailed look at how we project running backs for 2023, this is the page for you. In addition to rushing yards, receiving yards, and touchdowns, you can also see how many rush attempts we project, what the yards per carry expectation is, and more.
These 2023 fantasy football RB projections are the result of a lot of things. For one, we built team projections, using sports betting information such as the preseason over/under win totals for each team, as well as the passing and rushing stats from the previous year. You can see a fuller explanation here.
From there, we also had to divide up the team stats among players, using factors like how similar players had done in the past, how the team had distributed touches in the past, and projected depth charts.
You may look at a running back like Josh Jacobs and wonder why we have him projected for only 248 rush attempts, when he had 340 rushes last year and led the NFL in rushing yards.
A primary reason is injury risk, which is part of our projection. Jacobs did not miss a game last year, so his volume stats a year ago were based on playing 17 games. In the previous three seasons, he averaged 244 attempts, while playing in an average of just over 14 games.
The reality is that a typical starting running back will average between 14 and 15 games played. Some will get hurt early; a few will play in every game. Our projections are based on an average outcome. Players that stay fully healthy (and where the team plays healthy, or the defense is far better than expected) have a good chance of exceeding the projection.
Derrick Henry is projected to lead the NFL in rush attempts, while Jonathan Taylor is just ahead of him in projected rushing yards. That's the same top two as a year ago, though injuries de-railed Taylor's season.
Christian McCaffrey is our top projected running back in all formats, though the gap is a little closer in this one. McCaffrey rebounded from two tough injury-filled seasons and excelled after getting traded to San Francisco.
Bijan Robinson is the top rookie, and is projected inside our top five at the position. Given his draft position, age, and the performance of similar rookies, that's not unreasonable.
We have several players in new places in 2023, with Miles Sanders going to Carolina, David Montgomery in Detroit, D'Andre Swift and Rashaad Penny in Philadelphia, Samaje Perine in Denver, and Devin Singletary in Houston as the most prominent moves.
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