Projections last updated: Sep 10, 2023 | Rushing | Receiving | Fantasy | ||||||||||
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Rank | Player | Team | Bye | Att | Yds | Y/A | TD | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | FPts |
1 | Justin Jefferson | MIN | 13 | 4 | 17 | 4.1 | 0.4 | 169 | 104 | 1434 | 13.8 | 8.9 | 200.9 |
2 | Tyreek Hill | MIA | 10 | 7 | 33 | 4.7 | 0.6 | 159 | 102 | 1349 | 13.2 | 9.0 | 195.8 |
3 | Ja'Marr Chase | CIN | 7 | 3 | 14 | 4.1 | 0.1 | 157 | 101 | 1306 | 13.0 | 10.2 | 193.7 |
4 | Stefon Diggs | BUF | 13 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 156 | 101 | 1282 | 12.7 | 8.5 | 179.2 |
5 | A.J. Brown | PHI | 10 | 2 | 11 | 6.2 | 0.1 | 142 | 89 | 1260 | 14.1 | 8.3 | 177.4 |
6 | Garrett Wilson | NYJ | 7 | 3 | 15 | 4.9 | 0.1 | 148 | 90 | 1200 | 13.3 | 9.0 | 176.1 |
7 | CeeDee Lamb | DAL | 7 | 9 | 43 | 4.9 | 0.4 | 145 | 92 | 1183 | 12.9 | 7.2 | 168.2 |
8 | Davante Adams | LV | 13 | 1 | 4 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 145 | 91 | 1166 | 12.8 | 8.4 | 167.4 |
9 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | DET | 9 | 7 | 38 | 5.3 | 0.3 | 147 | 101 | 1165 | 11.6 | 6.9 | 163.5 |
10 | Tee Higgins | CIN | 7 | 3 | 12 | 4.2 | 0.1 | 118 | 80 | 1049 | 13.1 | 8.8 | 159.6 |
11 | Chris Olave | NO | 11 | 2 | 8 | 4.3 | 0.0 | 147 | 89 | 1168 | 13.2 | 6.7 | 157.8 |
12 | Cooper Kupp | LAR | 10 | 5 | 30 | 5.9 | 0.3 | 136 | 87 | 1070 | 12.3 | 7.4 | 156.2 |
13 | Jaylen Waddle | MIA | 10 | 3 | 14 | 5.5 | 0.1 | 132 | 86 | 1125 | 13.1 | 6.6 | 154.0 |
14 | DK Metcalf | SEA | 5 | 2 | 10 | 5.7 | 0.1 | 131 | 83 | 1061 | 12.7 | 7.5 | 152.7 |
15 | DeVonta Smith | PHI | 10 | 1 | 8 | 6.6 | 0.1 | 124 | 85 | 1056 | 12.4 | 6.5 | 146.0 |
16 | Calvin Ridley | JAC | 9 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 127 | 77 | 973 | 12.7 | 7.7 | 143.5 |
17 | Deebo Samuel | SF | 9 | 40 | 222 | 5.6 | 2.9 | 93 | 58 | 768 | 13.1 | 4.1 | 141.0 |
18 | Christian Watson | GB | 6 | 2 | 15 | 6.3 | 0.2 | 132 | 72 | 991 | 13.7 | 5.9 | 137.2 |
19 | DJ Moore | CHI | 13 | 6 | 25 | 4.4 | 0.2 | 125 | 72 | 942 | 13.1 | 5.9 | 133.3 |
20 | Amari Cooper | CLE | 5 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 122 | 77 | 953 | 12.5 | 6.0 | 131.3 |
21 | Terry McLaurin | WAS | 14 | 4 | 15 | 3.8 | 0.1 | 127 | 72 | 963 | 13.4 | 5.3 | 130.2 |
22 | Drake London | ATL | 11 | 2 | 5 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 124 | 76 | 939 | 12.4 | 5.6 | 128.0 |
23 | Keenan Allen | LAC | 5 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 113 | 76 | 852 | 11.2 | 6.7 | 125.4 |
24 | Brandon Aiyuk | SF | 9 | 3 | 16 | 5.3 | 0.1 | 106 | 64 | 923 | 14.5 | 5.1 | 125.1 |
25 | Mike Williams | LAC | 5 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 111 | 69 | 886 | 12.8 | 6.0 | 124.6 |
26 | Tyler Lockett | SEA | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 106 | 63 | 873 | 13.8 | 5.8 | 122.5 |
27 | Michael Pittman Jr. | IND | 11 | 1 | 8 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 112 | 64 | 887 | 13.9 | 5.2 | 120.7 |
28 | Gabe Davis | BUF | 13 | 3 | 17 | 5.5 | 0.1 | 104 | 60 | 803 | 13.5 | 6.2 | 119.8 |
29 | George Pickens | PIT | 6 | 5 | 30 | 5.8 | 0.2 | 117 | 64 | 891 | 13.9 | 4.4 | 119.6 |
30 | Mike Evans | TB | 5 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 117 | 66 | 882 | 13.5 | 5.2 | 119.4 |
31 | DeAndre Hopkins | TEN | 7 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 121 | 75 | 863 | 11.4 | 5.5 | 119.3 |
32 | Jerry Jeudy | DEN | 9 | 1 | 6 | 6.8 | 0.0 | 104 | 66 | 890 | 13.4 | 4.8 | 118.4 |
33 | Chris Godwin | TB | 5 | 2 | 9 | 4.1 | 0.1 | 128 | 79 | 905 | 11.5 | 4.3 | 117.7 |
34 | Christian Kirk | JAC | 9 | 5 | 24 | 5.0 | 0.2 | 108 | 71 | 805 | 11.3 | 5.4 | 116.4 |
35 | Marquise Brown | ARI | 14 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 115 | 71 | 857 | 12.1 | 4.3 | 111.5 |
36 | Diontae Johnson | PIT | 6 | 6 | 26 | 4.6 | 0.2 | 126 | 81 | 835 | 10.3 | 3.6 | 108.8 |
37 | Jordan Addison | MIN | 13 | 1 | 5 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 109 | 66 | 798 | 12.0 | 4.7 | 108.5 |
38 | Treylon Burks | TEN | 7 | 7 | 40 | 5.5 | 0.2 | 104 | 58 | 783 | 13.5 | 4.1 | 108.1 |
39 | Elijah Moore | CLE | 5 | 5 | 16 | 3.5 | 0.1 | 96 | 57 | 764 | 13.3 | 4.5 | 105.6 |
40 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | SEA | 5 | 4 | 29 | 6.6 | 0.3 | 87 | 52 | 681 | 13.1 | 4.6 | 100.4 |
41 | Quentin Johnston | LAC | 5 | 4 | 21 | 4.8 | 0.1 | 101 | 61 | 746 | 12.2 | 3.8 | 100.0 |
42 | Courtland Sutton | DEN | 9 | 2 | 18 | 7.6 | 0.0 | 92 | 58 | 722 | 12.4 | 4.3 | 99.8 |
43 | Allen Lazard | NYJ | 7 | 1 | 6 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 99 | 54 | 718 | 13.3 | 4.5 | 99.4 |
43 | Jahan Dotson | WAS | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4.4 | 0.1 | 101 | 62 | 721 | 11.6 | 4.3 | 99.4 |
45 | Brandin Cooks | DAL | 7 | 3 | 10 | 3.5 | 0.2 | 91 | 56 | 668 | 12.0 | 4.6 | 96.6 |
46 | Rashod Bateman | BAL | 13 | 2 | 11 | 6.6 | 0.1 | 82 | 52 | 673 | 13.0 | 4.6 | 96.5 |
47 | Kadarius Toney | KC | 10 | 7 | 46 | 6.6 | 0.4 | 81 | 54 | 641 | 11.9 | 4.2 | 96.3 |
48 | Van Jefferson | LAR | 10 | 2 | 7 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 88 | 52 | 662 | 12.7 | 4.2 | 92.1 |
49 | Michael Thomas | NO | 11 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 86 | 53 | 652 | 12.4 | 4.3 | 91.0 |
50 | Romeo Doubs | GB | 6 | 3 | 13 | 3.8 | 0.1 | 90 | 54 | 645 | 12.0 | 3.9 | 89.8 |
51 | Nico Collins | HOU | 7 | 1 | 8 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 102 | 49 | 670 | 13.7 | 3.6 | 89.4 |
52 | JuJu Smith-Schuster | NE | 11 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 92 | 60 | 650 | 10.9 | 4.0 | 89.0 |
53 | Jakobi Meyers | LV | 13 | 3 | 20 | 6.2 | 0.1 | 90 | 58 | 671 | 11.7 | 2.9 | 87.2 |
54 | Skyy Moore | KC | 10 | 3 | 17 | 5.3 | 0.3 | 75 | 51 | 605 | 11.8 | 3.8 | 86.9 |
55 | Jonathan Mingo | CAR | 7 | 5 | 20 | 4.2 | 0.1 | 84 | 49 | 626 | 12.7 | 3.4 | 85.6 |
56 | Zay Flowers | BAL | 13 | 4 | 18 | 5.0 | 0.1 | 82 | 52 | 602 | 11.5 | 3.7 | 84.8 |
57 | Zay Jones | JAC | 9 | 4 | 20 | 5.2 | 0.1 | 81 | 48 | 586 | 12.1 | 3.9 | 84.6 |
58 | DJ Chark Jr. | CAR | 7 | 1 | 6 | 4.2 | 0.1 | 81 | 46 | 600 | 13.0 | 3.6 | 82.7 |
59 | Michael Gallup | DAL | 7 | 3 | 14 | 4.2 | 0.2 | 74 | 47 | 579 | 12.3 | 3.6 | 82.1 |
60 | Jameson Williams | DET | 9 | 3 | 15 | 5.2 | 0.1 | 62 | 38 | 576 | 15.3 | 3.7 | 81.8 |
61 | Curtis Samuel | WAS | 14 | 28 | 138 | 4.9 | 0.7 | 57 | 36 | 424 | 11.9 | 3.4 | 80.8 |
62 | Odell Beckham Jr. | BAL | 13 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 77 | 50 | 564 | 11.3 | 3.9 | 79.8 |
63 | Tyler Boyd | CIN | 7 | 1 | 5 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 71 | 47 | 522 | 11.2 | 4.5 | 79.7 |
64 | Rashee Rice | KC | 10 | 3 | 17 | 5.3 | 0.2 | 63 | 39 | 520 | 13.4 | 3.9 | 78.3 |
65 | Rashid Shaheed | NO | 11 | 7 | 39 | 5.4 | 0.3 | 66 | 41 | 550 | 13.5 | 2.9 | 78.1 |
66 | Adam Thielen | CAR | 7 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 75 | 45 | 562 | 12.5 | 3.6 | 77.8 |
67 | DeVante Parker | NE | 11 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 76 | 42 | 564 | 13.4 | 3.3 | 76.2 |
68 | Darnell Mooney | CHI | 13 | 2 | 11 | 5.0 | 0.1 | 74 | 42 | 521 | 12.5 | 3.5 | 74.9 |
69 | K.J. Osborn | MIN | 13 | 2 | 5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 75 | 49 | 517 | 10.6 | 3.6 | 73.8 |
70 | Donovan Peoples-Jones | CLE | 5 | 2 | 7 | 4.5 | 0.1 | 68 | 39 | 534 | 13.7 | 3.0 | 72.7 |
70 | Khalil Shakir | BUF | 13 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 67 | 39 | 511 | 13.2 | 3.6 | 72.7 |
72 | Rondale Moore | ARI | 14 | 7 | 21 | 2.9 | 0.1 | 86 | 53 | 539 | 10.1 | 2.2 | 69.8 |
73 | Marvin Mims Jr. | DEN | 9 | 3 | 20 | 6.2 | 0.0 | 69 | 43 | 525 | 12.4 | 2.5 | 69.6 |
74 | Alec Pierce | IND | 11 | 2 | 8 | 4.8 | 0.1 | 61 | 33 | 493 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 68.6 |
75 | Tutu Atwell | LAR | 10 | 5 | 28 | 5.1 | 0.3 | 65 | 40 | 481 | 11.9 | 2.6 | 68.3 |
76 | Jalin Hyatt | NYG | 13 | 3 | 11 | 3.9 | 0.1 | 64 | 40 | 505 | 12.5 | 2.5 | 67.2 |
77 | Mecole Hardman Jr. | NYJ | 7 | 13 | 63 | 4.8 | 0.4 | 59 | 38 | 431 | 11.4 | 2.4 | 66.2 |
78 | Terrace Marshall Jr. | CAR | 7 | 3 | 14 | 5.1 | 0.1 | 62 | 40 | 468 | 11.6 | 2.9 | 66.1 |
79 | John Metchie III | HOU | 7 | 2 | 12 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 78 | 40 | 476 | 12.0 | 2.8 | 65.6 |
80 | Puka Nacua | LAR | 10 | 5 | 31 | 5.8 | 0.2 | 62 | 41 | 468 | 11.4 | 2.3 | 65.0 |
81 | Marvin Jones Jr. | DET | 9 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 61 | 41 | 522 | 12.8 | 2.1 | 64.8 |
82 | Tank Dell | HOU | 7 | 5 | 21 | 4.6 | 0.1 | 63 | 39 | 488 | 12.6 | 2.2 | 64.7 |
83 | Jayden Reed | GB | 6 | 5 | 26 | 4.9 | 0.2 | 60 | 38 | 452 | 11.9 | 2.6 | 64.6 |
84 | Parris Campbell | NYG | 13 | 1 | 7 | 7.2 | 0.1 | 73 | 43 | 474 | 11.0 | 2.6 | 64.2 |
85 | Isaiah Hodgins | NYG | 13 | 2 | 7 | 3.4 | 0.1 | 61 | 35 | 455 | 13.1 | 2.6 | 62.3 |
86 | Marquez Valdes-Scantling | KC | 10 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 53 | 33 | 439 | 13.2 | 2.9 | 61.3 |
87 | Robert Woods | HOU | 7 | 2 | 8 | 4.3 | 0.1 | 72 | 41 | 472 | 11.5 | 2.1 | 61.2 |
88 | Chase Claypool | CHI | 13 | 7 | 30 | 4.5 | 0.2 | 48 | 29 | 391 | 13.4 | 2.9 | 60.7 |
89 | Josh Reynolds | DET | 9 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 62 | 36 | 472 | 13.3 | 2.0 | 59.2 |
90 | Kendrick Bourne | NE | 11 | 4 | 28 | 6.5 | 0.1 | 60 | 38 | 425 | 11.3 | 2.2 | 59.1 |
91 | Cedrick Wilson Jr. | MIA | 10 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 61 | 34 | 429 | 12.6 | 2.6 | 58.5 |
92 | Hunter Renfrow | LV | 13 | 2 | 9 | 5.5 | 0.1 | 56 | 38 | 422 | 11.2 | 2.3 | 57.5 |
93 | Michael Wilson | ARI | 14 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 66 | 39 | 441 | 11.3 | 2.2 | 57.3 |
94 | Mack Hollins | ATL | 11 | 1 | 5 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 56 | 34 | 432 | 12.9 | 2.2 | 56.9 |
95 | Charlie Jones | CIN | 7 | 2 | 9 | 4.1 | 0.1 | 54 | 33 | 372 | 11.5 | 3.0 | 56.7 |
96 | Joshua Palmer | LAC | 5 | 1 | 7 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 55 | 33 | 407 | 12.3 | 2.4 | 55.8 |
96 | Tyquan Thornton | NE | 11 | 3 | 15 | 5.8 | 0.1 | 55 | 29 | 387 | 13.3 | 2.5 | 55.8 |
98 | Cedric Tillman | CLE | 5 | 3 | 18 | 6.0 | 0.2 | 51 | 32 | 378 | 11.9 | 2.3 | 54.6 |
99 | Darius Slayton | NYG | 13 | 2 | 11 | 5.7 | 0.1 | 55 | 35 | 397 | 11.3 | 1.9 | 52.8 |
100 | Allen Robinson II | PIT | 6 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 53 | 36 | 423 | 11.7 | 1.7 | 52.5 |
101 | Quez Watkins | PHI | 10 | 2 | 11 | 6.2 | 0.1 | 43 | 26 | 335 | 13.0 | 2.6 | 50.7 |
102 | Jamal Agnew | JAC | 9 | 6 | 33 | 5.5 | 0.2 | 35 | 25 | 305 | 12.3 | 2.3 | 48.7 |
103 | Scott Miller | ATL | 11 | 1 | 7 | 7.1 | 0.0 | 39 | 23 | 338 | 15.0 | 1.9 | 45.9 |
104 | Josh Downs | IND | 11 | 1 | 5 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 44 | 23 | 321 | 14.0 | 2.1 | 45.2 |
105 | Randall Cobb | NYJ | 7 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 49 | 31 | 317 | 10.2 | 2.2 | 44.9 |
106 | Richie James | KC | 10 | 5 | 19 | 4.3 | 0.2 | 38 | 27 | 293 | 10.7 | 2.0 | 44.4 |
107 | Braxton Berrios | MIA | 10 | 6 | 33 | 5.3 | 0.1 | 42 | 26 | 285 | 10.8 | 2.0 | 44.3 |
108 | Greg Dortch | ARI | 14 | 8 | 26 | 3.2 | 0.1 | 47 | 34 | 322 | 9.4 | 1.4 | 43.8 |
109 | Dyami Brown | WAS | 14 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 49 | 27 | 327 | 12.3 | 1.8 | 43.5 |
110 | Devin Duvernay | BAL | 13 | 5 | 24 | 4.9 | 0.1 | 43 | 28 | 301 | 10.8 | 1.7 | 43.2 |
111 | Nick Westbrook-Ikhine | TEN | 7 | 2 | 8 | 4.2 | 0.1 | 48 | 24 | 321 | 13.3 | 1.6 | 43.1 |
112 | Demario Douglas | NE | 11 | 4 | 23 | 6.4 | 0.1 | 38 | 30 | 304 | 10.0 | 1.6 | 42.9 |
113 | Tre Tucker | LV | 13 | 3 | 17 | 5.1 | 0.1 | 41 | 25 | 314 | 12.4 | 1.5 | 42.7 |
114 | Jauan Jennings | SF | 9 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 0.1 | 38 | 20 | 295 | 14.5 | 1.8 | 41.6 |
114 | Deonte Harty | BUF | 13 | 4 | 21 | 4.8 | 0.2 | 34 | 22 | 269 | 12.1 | 1.9 | 41.6 |
116 | Ben Skowronek | LAR | 10 | 2 | 10 | 6.1 | 0.1 | 42 | 30 | 297 | 10.0 | 1.6 | 40.9 |
116 | Wan'Dale Robinson | NYG | 13 | 7 | 35 | 5.4 | 0.2 | 42 | 30 | 266 | 8.9 | 1.6 | 40.9 |
118 | Jalen Tolbert | DAL | 7 | 2 | 8 | 3.4 | 0.1 | 40 | 26 | 281 | 10.9 | 1.8 | 40.3 |
119 | Jalen Reagor | MIN | 13 | 2 | 14 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 39 | 24 | 263 | 10.8 | 2.1 | 40.2 |
120 | David Moore | TB | 5 | 7 | 28 | 3.9 | 0.1 | 42 | 26 | 284 | 10.8 | 1.3 | 39.6 |
121 | Justyn Ross | KC | 10 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 33 | 22 | 267 | 12.3 | 1.9 | 38.1 |
122 | Dee Eskridge | SEA | 5 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 35 | 21 | 258 | 12.1 | 1.6 | 35.4 |
123 | Dante Pettis | CHI | 13 | 0 | 0 | -- | 0.0 | 31 | 17 | 247 | 14.5 | 1.3 | 32.5 |
124 | Kalif Raymond | DET | 9 | 4 | 19 | 4.9 | 0.1 | 38 | 20 | 229 | 11.2 | 1.1 | 32.0 |
125 | Trey Palmer | TB | 5 | 1 | 7 | 5.4 | 0.1 | 41 | 24 | 251 | 10.7 | 0.8 | 31.2 |
Our fantasy football WR projections page includes stat projections for over 100 wide receivers and at least three, and often more, from each team. If you want a more detailed look at how we project the wide receiver position for 2023, this is the page for you. In addition to receiving yards, receptions, and touchdowns, you can see how many targets we project, the yards per catch, and the rushing stats for each WR.
These 2023 fantasy football WR projections are the result of a lot of things. For one, we built team projections, using sports betting information such as the preseason over/under win totals for each team, as well as the passing and rushing stats from the previous year. You can see a fuller explanation here.
From there, we also had to divide up the team stats among players, using things like how similar players had done in the past, how the team had distributed touches in the past, and projected depth charts.
You may see our fantasy football WR projections and think they are too low.
But in projecting individual wide receiver numbers, our projections are going to be more conservative. The stats at the WR position can be volatile. Some players will have better than average years. Others will have injuries, their quarterback will get hurt, or the offensive situation will be different than anticipated.
So while we know that several wide receivers will finish with more than 1,000 yards receiving (especially with a 17th game), identifying the specific ones that will stay healthy, and be in the right team situation, or which will benefit statistically when another teammate misses games, is a harder task. Our predictions are here to provide an average outlook for that player entering the season.
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