NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI MIL
Points 112.4 114.9
Total Points   227.3
Points From 2-Pointers 57.1 54.8
Points From 3-Pointers 36.1 39.9
Points From Free Throws 19.2 20.2
Shooting PHI MIL
Field Goals Made 40.6 40.7
Field Goals Attempted 90.4 85.2
Field Goal % 44.9% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 28.6 27.4
2 Pointers Attempted 56.5 49.0
2 Point Shooting % 50.5% 56.0%
3 Pointers Made 12.0 13.3
3 Pointers Attempted 33.9 36.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 19.2 20.2
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 25.9
Free Throw % 81.9% 78.0%
Ball Control PHI MIL
Rebounds 48.0 50.8
Rebounds - Defensive 36.1 39.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 11.1
Turnovers 9.5 12.1
Blocked Shots 5.2 5.5
Steals 6.8 5.1
Fouls 18.8 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI MIL
Total Possessions 101.1
Effective Scoring Chances 103.5 100.1
% of Possessions with PHI MIL
2 Point Attempt 49.1% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 31.7%
Player Fouled 16.6% 18.6%
Turnover 9.4% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 5.1% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHI MIL
Shot Blocked 6.6% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 23.6%