NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI CHI
Points 113.9 111.6
Total Points   225.5
Points From 2-Pointers 52.9 60.3
Points From 3-Pointers 40.9 32.8
Points From Free Throws 20.1 18.5
Shooting PHI CHI
Field Goals Made 40.1 41.1
Field Goals Attempted 87.1 88.2
Field Goal % 46.0% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 26.5 30.2
2 Pointers Attempted 49.9 56.9
2 Point Shooting % 53.0% 53.0%
3 Pointers Made 13.6 10.9
3 Pointers Attempted 37.2 31.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 20.1 18.5
Free Throws Attempted 24.5 23.3
Free Throw % 81.9% 79.2%
Ball Control PHI CHI
Rebounds 48.0 50.0
Rebounds - Defensive 36.0 36.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 13.2
Turnovers 10.9 11.5
Blocked Shots 5.7 5.7
Steals 6.6 6.1
Fouls 18.2 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI CHI
Total Possessions 99.8
Effective Scoring Chances 100.9 101.5
% of Possessions with PHI CHI
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 49.4%
3 Point Attempt 32.6% 27.1%
Player Fouled 16.9% 18.2%
Turnover 10.9% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHI CHI
Shot Blocked 6.6% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 26.8%