NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI BOS
Points 106.7 117.7
Total Points   224.3
Points From 2-Pointers 53.3 53.2
Points From 3-Pointers 38.0 47.1
Points From Free Throws 15.3 17.4
Shooting PHI BOS
Field Goals Made 39.3 42.3
Field Goals Attempted 93.8 88.5
Field Goal % 42.0% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 26.7 26.6
2 Pointers Attempted 57.7 47.6
2 Point Shooting % 46.2% 55.9%
3 Pointers Made 12.7 15.7
3 Pointers Attempted 36.0 41.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 38.3%
Free Throws Made 15.3 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 21.9
Free Throw % 81.9% 79.2%
Ball Control PHI BOS
Rebounds 48.9 54.5
Rebounds - Defensive 35.2 41.4
Rebounds - Offensive 13.7 13.1
Turnovers 9.6 11.1
Blocked Shots 4.7 7.6
Steals 5.9 5.3
Fouls 16.5 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Boston

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI BOS
Total Possessions 99.4
Effective Scoring Chances 103.5 101.4
% of Possessions with PHI BOS
2 Point Attempt 49.7% 41.6%
3 Point Attempt 31.0% 35.8%
Player Fouled 14.1% 16.6%
Turnover 9.7% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHI BOS
Shot Blocked 8.7% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 27.1%