NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI BOS
Points 106.2 119.0
Total Points   225.2
Points From 2-Pointers 54.8 53.4
Points From 3-Pointers 35.4 46.7
Points From Free Throws 16.0 18.9
Shooting PHI BOS
Field Goals Made 39.2 42.3
Field Goals Attempted 93.6 87.3
Field Goal % 41.9% 48.4%
2 Pointers Made 27.4 26.7
2 Pointers Attempted 58.7 46.4
2 Point Shooting % 46.7% 57.6%
3 Pointers Made 11.8 15.6
3 Pointers Attempted 34.9 40.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 38.1%
Free Throws Made 16.0 18.9
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 23.4
Free Throw % 81.7% 80.7%
Ball Control PHI BOS
Rebounds 47.8 54.6
Rebounds - Defensive 34.3 41.8
Rebounds - Offensive 13.5 12.8
Turnovers 9.5 11.5
Blocked Shots 4.6 7.6
Steals 6.1 5.0
Fouls 17.6 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Boston

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI BOS
Total Possessions 99.8
Effective Scoring Chances 103.8 101.1
% of Possessions with PHI BOS
2 Point Attempt 50.5% 40.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 35.7%
Player Fouled 14.5% 17.6%
Turnover 9.5% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 5.0% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHI BOS
Shot Blocked 8.8% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 27.2%