NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI BOS
Points 107.0 117.6
Total Points   224.6
Points From 2-Pointers 53.8 53.7
Points From 3-Pointers 37.9 46.5
Points From Free Throws 15.4 17.3
Shooting PHI BOS
Field Goals Made 39.5 42.4
Field Goals Attempted 94.1 88.4
Field Goal % 42.0% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 26.9 26.9
2 Pointers Attempted 58.2 47.6
2 Point Shooting % 46.2% 56.5%
3 Pointers Made 12.6 15.5
3 Pointers Attempted 35.9 40.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 15.4 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 21.9
Free Throw % 81.7% 79.1%
Ball Control PHI BOS
Rebounds 49.1 54.3
Rebounds - Defensive 35.3 41.5
Rebounds - Offensive 13.8 12.8
Turnovers 9.6 11.3
Blocked Shots 4.8 7.5
Steals 6.0 5.2
Fouls 16.6 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Boston

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI BOS
Total Possessions 99.7
Effective Scoring Chances 103.9 101.2
% of Possessions with PHI BOS
2 Point Attempt 49.9% 41.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.8% 35.7%
Player Fouled 14.1% 16.7%
Turnover 9.6% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHI BOS
Shot Blocked 8.6% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 26.6%