NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI ATL
Points 119.9 117.2
Total Points   237.2
Points From 2-Pointers 61.7 56.9
Points From 3-Pointers 38.3 38.7
Points From Free Throws 19.9 21.6
Shooting PHI ATL
Field Goals Made 43.6 41.3
Field Goals Attempted 89.7 89.0
Field Goal % 48.7% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made 30.8 28.4
2 Pointers Attempted 55.8 53.3
2 Point Shooting % 55.2% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made 12.8 12.9
3 Pointers Attempted 33.8 35.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.8% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 19.9 21.6
Free Throws Attempted 24.4 27.2
Free Throw % 81.7% 79.7%
Ball Control PHI ATL
Rebounds 47.4 50.5
Rebounds - Defensive 35.0 35.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 15.0
Turnovers 11.1 12.5
Blocked Shots 6.7 5.6
Steals 7.3 5.6
Fouls 19.0 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI ATL
Total Possessions 102.1
Effective Scoring Chances 103.5 104.6
% of Possessions with PHI ATL
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 29.8%
Player Fouled 16.2% 18.6%
Turnover 10.8% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHI ATL
Shot Blocked 6.5% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 30.0%