NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI ATL
Points 120.9 115.0
Total Points   235.9
Points From 2-Pointers 61.1 56.1
Points From 3-Pointers 40.0 38.6
Points From Free Throws 19.8 20.3
Shooting PHI ATL
Field Goals Made 43.9 40.9
Field Goals Attempted 89.3 89.4
Field Goal % 49.1% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 30.5 28.1
2 Pointers Attempted 54.7 53.7
2 Point Shooting % 55.8% 52.3%
3 Pointers Made 13.3 12.9
3 Pointers Attempted 34.6 35.8
3 Point Shooting % 38.6% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 19.8 20.3
Free Throws Attempted 24.2 25.9
Free Throw % 81.9% 78.3%
Ball Control PHI ATL
Rebounds 48.2 50.1
Rebounds - Defensive 36.1 35.3
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 14.8
Turnovers 11.1 12.7
Blocked Shots 6.6 5.3
Steals 7.3 5.6
Fouls 18.7 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI ATL
Total Possessions 102.2
Effective Scoring Chances 103.1 104.4
% of Possessions with PHI ATL
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 44.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.7% 29.9%
Player Fouled 16.3% 18.3%
Turnover 10.9% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHI ATL
Shot Blocked 6.0% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 29.1%