NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI ATL
Points 119.7 117.5
Total Points   237.1
Points From 2-Pointers 61.7 57.3
Points From 3-Pointers 38.1 38.8
Points From Free Throws 19.9 21.4
Shooting PHI ATL
Field Goals Made 43.5 41.6
Field Goals Attempted 89.6 89.2
Field Goal % 48.6% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 30.8 28.6
2 Pointers Attempted 56.0 53.4
2 Point Shooting % 55.1% 53.7%
3 Pointers Made 12.7 12.9
3 Pointers Attempted 33.6 35.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 19.9 21.4
Free Throws Attempted 24.4 26.9
Free Throw % 81.7% 79.2%
Ball Control PHI ATL
Rebounds 47.3 50.7
Rebounds - Defensive 34.9 35.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 15.1
Turnovers 11.1 12.5
Blocked Shots 6.6 5.7
Steals 7.3 5.6
Fouls 19.0 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI ATL
Total Possessions 102.1
Effective Scoring Chances 103.4 104.7
% of Possessions with PHI ATL
2 Point Attempt 47.9% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 29.9%
Player Fouled 16.1% 18.6%
Turnover 10.8% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHI ATL
Shot Blocked 6.5% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 30.2%