NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI CHA
Points 114.5 104.9
Total Points   219.4
Points From 2-Pointers 59.2 55.1
Points From 3-Pointers 36.7 33.7
Points From Free Throws 18.6 16.2
Shooting PHI CHA
Field Goals Made 41.8 38.8
Field Goals Attempted 87.4 85.0
Field Goal % 47.9% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 29.6 27.5
2 Pointers Attempted 53.2 52.2
2 Point Shooting % 55.7% 52.7%
3 Pointers Made 12.2 11.2
3 Pointers Attempted 34.2 32.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 18.6 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.7 20.6
Free Throw % 81.7% 78.3%
Ball Control PHI CHA
Rebounds 49.1 46.3
Rebounds - Defensive 37.0 35.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 11.1
Turnovers 11.0 13.6
Blocked Shots 5.9 5.1
Steals 7.1 5.2
Fouls 17.3 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI CHA
Total Possessions 99.3
Effective Scoring Chances 100.4 96.8
% of Possessions with PHI CHA
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 46.3%
3 Point Attempt 30.1% 29.1%
Player Fouled 16.2% 17.4%
Turnover 11.1% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHI CHA
Shot Blocked 6.2% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 23.1%