NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI CHA
Points 115.3 105.0
Total Points   220.3
Points From 2-Pointers 58.5 54.0
Points From 3-Pointers 38.8 34.9
Points From Free Throws 18.0 16.0
Shooting PHI CHA
Field Goals Made 42.2 38.6
Field Goals Attempted 88.0 84.7
Field Goal % 47.9% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 29.3 27.0
2 Pointers Attempted 53.0 51.2
2 Point Shooting % 55.2% 52.7%
3 Pointers Made 12.9 11.6
3 Pointers Attempted 35.0 33.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 18.0 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 20.3
Free Throw % 81.9% 78.9%
Ball Control PHI CHA
Rebounds 49.9 45.4
Rebounds - Defensive 37.3 34.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 10.5
Turnovers 11.1 13.4
Blocked Shots 5.6 5.1
Steals 7.0 5.4
Fouls 17.3 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI CHA
Total Possessions 99.2
Effective Scoring Chances 100.7 96.3
% of Possessions with PHI CHA
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.7% 29.9%
Player Fouled 15.8% 17.5%
Turnover 11.2% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHI CHA
Shot Blocked 6.1% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 22.0%