NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI NY
Points 110.7 111.6
Total Points   222.2
Points From 2-Pointers 56.6 55.2
Points From 3-Pointers 35.8 37.4
Points From Free Throws 18.2 19.0
Shooting PHI NY
Field Goals Made 40.3 40.0
Field Goals Attempted 87.2 86.9
Field Goal % 46.2% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 28.3 27.6
2 Pointers Attempted 54.0 52.5
2 Point Shooting % 52.5% 52.6%
3 Pointers Made 11.9 12.5
3 Pointers Attempted 33.2 34.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 18.2 19.0
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 24.4
Free Throw % 81.9% 77.9%
Ball Control PHI NY
Rebounds 46.1 51.8
Rebounds - Defensive 33.5 36.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 15.8
Turnovers 10.8 12.6
Blocked Shots 6.1 5.1
Steals 6.5 5.9
Fouls 18.3 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI NY
Total Possessions 98.2
Effective Scoring Chances 99.9 101.4
% of Possessions with PHI NY
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 29.6%
Player Fouled 16.1% 18.6%
Turnover 11.0% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHI NY
Shot Blocked 6.0% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 32.0%